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Identifying agricultural frontiers for modeling global cropland expansion

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F61989592%3A15310%2F20%3A73602589" target="_blank" >RIV/61989592:15310/20:73602589 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Result on the web

    <a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590332220304759" target="_blank" >https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590332220304759</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2020.09.006" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.oneear.2020.09.006</a>

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Identifying agricultural frontiers for modeling global cropland expansion

  • Original language description

    The increasing expansion of cropland is major driver of global carbon emissions and biodiversity loss. However, predicting plausible future global distributions of croplands remains challenging. Here, we show that, in general, existing global data aligned with classical economic theories of expansion explain the current (1992) global extent of cropland reasonably well, but not recent expansion (1992–2015). Deviations from models of cropland extent in 1992 (“frontierness”) can be used to improve global models of recent expansion, most likely as these deviations are a proxy for cropland expansion under frontier conditions where classical economic theories of expansion are less applicable. Frontierness is insensitive to the land cover dataset used and is particularly effective in improving models that include mosaic land cover classes and the largely smallholder-driven frontier expansion occurring in such areas. Our findings have important implications as the frontierness approach offers a straightforward way to improve global land use change models.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    J<sub>ost</sub> - Miscellaneous article in a specialist periodical

  • CEP classification

  • OECD FORD branch

    10511 - Environmental sciences (social aspects to be 5.7)

Result continuities

  • Project

  • Continuities

    N - Vyzkumna aktivita podporovana z neverejnych zdroju

Others

  • Publication year

    2020

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Name of the periodical

    One Earth

  • ISSN

    2590-3322

  • e-ISSN

  • Volume of the periodical

    3

  • Issue of the periodical within the volume

    4

  • Country of publishing house

    US - UNITED STATES

  • Number of pages

    11

  • Pages from-to

    504-514

  • UT code for WoS article

  • EID of the result in the Scopus database

    2-s2.0-85096522934