Long-term development and prediction of climate extremity and heat waves occurrence: Case study for agricultural land

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F62156489%3A43210%2F17%3A43913217" target="_blank" >RIV/62156489:43210/17:43913217 - isvavai.cz</a>

Result on the web

<a href="https://doi.org/10.1515/congeo-2017-0013" target="_blank" >https://doi.org/10.1515/congeo-2017-0013</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1515/congeo-2017-0013" target="_blank" >10.1515/congeo-2017-0013</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Long-term development and prediction of climate extremity and heat waves occurrence: Case study for agricultural land

Original language description

According to the IPCC it is possible to predict larger weather extremity associated with more frequent occurrence of heat waves. These waves have an impact not only on the health status of the population, on economic, social and environmental spheres, but also on agricultural landscape and production. The paper deals with the issue of climate extremity and addresses mainly the occurrence of characteristic days (tropical, summer, freezing, ice and arctic) and heat waves. The south-eastern Moravia belongs to the warmest regions of the Czech Republic. Since the area is not urban, it is not affected by urban heat islands. Thus, it can be used as a representative area of climate change in terms of weather extremes. Heat wave occurrence and length analysis was performed for the period of 1931-1960 and 1961-2013. In addition, a prospective analysis was carried out for the period of 2021-2100 where the scenario data of the Czech Hydrometeorological Institute were used. Between 1961 and 1990, heat waves appeared from June to September. The prediction for the next two decades shows that heat waves may appear as early as May. Furthermore, the average count of days in heat waves increased from 6.13 days (1961-1990) to 36 days (2071-2100). A statistically significant increase in the annual number of tropical days (from 9 to 20 days) was found in the assessment of characteristic days for the period 1961-2013. A highly conspicuous trend was found in July and a prominent trend was identified in May. A statistically highly significant trend was also observed in the annual number of summer days.

Czech name

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Czech description

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Type

J_SC - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the SCOPUS database

CEP classification

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OECD FORD branch

10510 - Climatic research

Project

Result was created during the realization of more than one project. More information in the Projects tab.

Continuities

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Publication year

2017

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

Contributions to Geophysics and Geodesy

ISSN

1335-2806

e-ISSN

—

Volume of the periodical

47

Issue of the periodical within the volume

3

Country of publishing house

SK - SLOVAKIA

Number of pages

14

Pages from-to

247-260

UT code for WoS article

000425656800004

EID of the result in the Scopus database

2-s2.0-85041453435