Risk factors for European winter oilseed rape production under climate change
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F62156489%3A43210%2F19%3A43915825" target="_blank" >RIV/62156489:43210/19:43915825 - isvavai.cz</a>
Alternative codes found
RIV/86652079:_____/19:00504269
Result on the web
<a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2019.03.023" target="_blank" >https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2019.03.023</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2019.03.023" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.agrformet.2019.03.023</a>
Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Risk factors for European winter oilseed rape production under climate change
Original language description
Winter oilseed rape (Brassica napus L., WOSR) is the main oilseed crop in Europe, and it is mainly grown for biofuel and edible oil. The crop is grown widespread in Europe with most of the production area located in Germany, Poland, Czech Republic and France. How current and future WOSR production is influenced by climatic risk factors was explored by integrating a phenology model with climatic indices relating to crop yield. The phenology model based on the BRASNAP-PH model performed well when tested against data from variety trials across Europe. The phenology model was integrated into the Agriclim model. To quantify non-optimal agro-climatic growing conditions with respect to physical and biological stressors, a total of nine agroclimatic indices were calculated, of which one reflects a major disease (Phoma stem canker). Agriclim simulations across Europe show that current cropping area agree well with the area with least calculated stress factors. Projections under climate change were based on climate scenarios generated by the LARS-WG weather generator for GISS and HadGEM models RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 climate projections (2081-2100), which predicted that the crop will most likely suffer from low temperatures (early and late frost) in areas where the crop is currently grown. In the southern regions of Europe, the crops will suffer from droughts. Based on the model runs with climate scenarios, the North European regions (Boreal environmental zone) will become more favourable for growing WOSR. The type of adverse conditions for European WOSR growing areas is likely to change under climate change, underpinning the need for developing adaptive management strategies and future breeding strategies for crop cultivars to guarantee a well-established and healthy crop under climate change.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
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OECD FORD branch
40106 - Agronomy, plant breeding and plant protection; (Agricultural biotechnology to be 4.4)
Result continuities
Project
<a href="/en/project/EF16_019%2F0000797" target="_blank" >EF16_019/0000797: SustES - Adaptation strategies for sustainable ecosystem services and food security under adverse environmental conditions</a><br>
Continuities
I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace
Others
Publication year
2019
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
ISSN
0168-1923
e-ISSN
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Volume of the periodical
272-273
Issue of the periodical within the volume
15 July
Country of publishing house
NL - THE KINGDOM OF THE NETHERLANDS
Number of pages
10
Pages from-to
30-39
UT code for WoS article
000469158400004
EID of the result in the Scopus database
2-s2.0-85063915284