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Cyclical geothermal unrest as a precursor to Iceland’s 2021 Fagradalsfjall eruption

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F67985530%3A_____%2F22%3A00557212" target="_blank" >RIV/67985530:_____/22:00557212 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Result on the web

    <a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41561-022-00930-5" target="_blank" >https://www.nature.com/articles/s41561-022-00930-5</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41561-022-00930-5" target="_blank" >10.1038/s41561-022-00930-5</a>

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Cyclical geothermal unrest as a precursor to Iceland’s 2021 Fagradalsfjall eruption

  • Original language description

    Understanding and constraining the source of geodetic deformation in volcanic areas is an important component of hazard assessment. Here, we analyse deformation and seismicity for one year before the March 2021 Fagradalsfjall eruption in Iceland. We generate a high-resolution catalogue of 39,500 earthquakes using optical cable recordings and develop a poroelastic model to describe three pre-eruptional uplift and subsidence cycles at the Svartsengi geothermal field, 8 km west of the eruption site. We find the observed deformation is best explained by cyclic intrusions into a permeable aquifer by a fluid injected at 4 km depth below the geothermal field, with a total volume of 0.11 +/- 0.05 km(3) and a density of 850 +/- 350 kg m(-3). We therefore suggest that ingression of magmatic CO2 can explain the geodetic, gravity and seismic data, although some contribution of magma cannot be excluded. Ingression of magmatic gas into a geothermal aquifer generated cyclical deformation and primed the system for the 2021 Fagradalsfjall eruption, Iceland, according to a catalogue of 39,500 precursory earthquakes combined with a poroelastic model.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

  • CEP classification

  • OECD FORD branch

    10507 - Volcanology

Result continuities

  • Project

  • Continuities

    I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Others

  • Publication year

    2022

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Name of the periodical

    Nature Geoscience

  • ISSN

    1752-0894

  • e-ISSN

    1752-0908

  • Volume of the periodical

    15

  • Issue of the periodical within the volume

    May

  • Country of publishing house

    GB - UNITED KINGDOM

  • Number of pages

    8

  • Pages from-to

    397-404

  • UT code for WoS article

    000789729500001

  • EID of the result in the Scopus database

    2-s2.0-85129252410