Statistical Calibration of the Natural Gas Consumption Model

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F67985807%3A_____%2F09%3A00329206" target="_blank" >RIV/67985807:_____/09:00329206 - isvavai.cz</a>

Result on the web

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DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Statistical Calibration of the Natural Gas Consumption Model

Original language description

We will discuss a problem pertinent to many situations in which a statistical model is developed on a sample of individuals (describing their trajectories), but then it is applied on a much larger population of interest. Typical examples occur in naturalgas and other energy consumption contexts. Due to various deficiencies of the original sample-only based model, due to possible inconsistencies between sample and the population as a whole, and/or due to inherently different nature of the available sample and population data, calibration arises as a natural way to improve original model. We start with a simple approach and proceed to introduce a formal and flexible, time-varying statistical model of state-space nature, from which such a calibration will come out as one of the products. The calibration model is quite general and hence it can be used far beyond the particular context of natural gas consumption modeling in which it was originally motivated.

Czech name

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Czech description

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Type

J_x - Unclassified - Peer-reviewed scientific article (Jimp, Jsc and Jost)

CEP classification

JE - Non-nuclear power engineering, energy consumption and utilization

OECD FORD branch

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Project

<a href="/en/project/1ET400300513" target="_blank" >1ET400300513: Mathematical modelling of natural gas consumption for small and middle clients</a><br>

Continuities

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)<br>Z - Vyzkumny zamer (s odkazem do CEZ)

Publication year

2009

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

WSEAS Transactions on Systems

ISSN

1109-2777

e-ISSN

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Volume of the periodical

8

Issue of the periodical within the volume

7

Country of publishing house

US - UNITED STATES

Number of pages

11

Pages from-to

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UT code for WoS article

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EID of the result in the Scopus database

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