Analysis of Meteorological Effects on the Incidence of Tick-borne Encephalitis in the Czech Republic over a Thirty-year Period

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F67985807%3A_____%2F17%3A00473776" target="_blank" >RIV/67985807:_____/17:00473776 - isvavai.cz</a>

Alternative codes found

RIV/75010330:_____/17:00011721

Result on the web

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.15761/VRR.1000103" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.15761/VRR.1000103</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.15761/VRR.1000103" target="_blank" >10.15761/VRR.1000103</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Analysis of Meteorological Effects on the Incidence of Tick-borne Encephalitis in the Czech Republic over a Thirty-year Period

Original language description

The goal is to analyse the effect of climatic factors on the incidence of tick-borne encephalitis (TBE) in three adjacent, high-incidence regions of the Czech Republic (CZ) that differed considerably in the baseline incidence and in the timing of high incidence period. The basis for the analysis were the meteorological data from a 30-year database (1982-2011) of daily air temperature and precipitation measurements and time-matched reports of TBE cases defined by the onset of symptoms. A semi-parametric Poisson regression model revealed a statistically significant relationship between the average daily ambient air temperature and incidence of TBE. The shapes of the dependence were similar in all three regions under study. The analysis of the available data did not show a statistically significant relationship between the precipitation amount and incidence of TBE. Other statistically significant predictors were the trend over calendar years, monthly seasonality and trend-seasonality interaction (the shape of the monthly seasonality varies over years), and day of week. The climate changes had differentiated effects on TBE increase depending on the local environmental conditions as can be illustrated by the variations between the three regions not only in the TBE incidence level but also in the shape of the trend over years.

Czech name

—

Czech description

—

Type

J_ost - Miscellaneous article in a specialist periodical

CEP classification

—

OECD FORD branch

10103 - Statistics and probability

Project

<a href="/en/project/NT11425" target="_blank" >NT11425: Mapping of natural foci of zoonoses transmissible to humans and evaluation of their change due to the climate modifications.</a><br>

Continuities

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Publication year

2017

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

Virology: Research & Reviews

ISSN

2514-4138

e-ISSN

—

Volume of the periodical

1

Issue of the periodical within the volume

1

Country of publishing house

GB - UNITED KINGDOM

Number of pages

8

Pages from-to

—

UT code for WoS article

—

EID of the result in the Scopus database

—