From scenarios to strategies: Integrated methodology for addressing urban heat vulnerability in an uncertain future.

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F67985807%3A_____%2F25%3A00619167" target="_blank" >RIV/67985807:_____/25:00619167 - isvavai.cz</a>

Alternative codes found

RIV/86652079:_____/25:00619167 RIV/60460709:41330/25:103034

Result on the web

<a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2210670725000794" target="_blank" >https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2210670725000794</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2025.106202" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.scs.2025.106202</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

From scenarios to strategies: Integrated methodology for addressing urban heat vulnerability in an uncertain future.

Original language description

Challenges posed by extreme heat threaten cities, human health and well-being. Consequently, climate adaptation has become crucial for sustainable urban development. Heat vulnerability assessment has been proposed to guide adaptation strategies by identifying areas and populations susceptible to climate impacts. This article presents an innovative methodological approach to heat vulnerability assessment, integrating climate models based on Representative Concentration Pathways, participatory co-production of future land use and land cover scenarios derived from Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, and demographic projections. Using Prague as a case study, this approach generates vulnerability scenarios that pinpoint specific patterns and vulnerable urban areas for both near (2030) and distant futures (2050). Results suggest that while climate change and socioeconomic development outlooks will negatively impact urban vulnerability, cities can mitigate climate effects through comprehensive adaptation measures and sustainably-oriented urban planning. The article highlights methodological contributions and explores how a nuanced understanding of future developments can empower planners and decision-makers to enhance urban climate resilience and sustainability.

Czech name

—

Czech description

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Type

J_imp - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

CEP classification

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OECD FORD branch

10509 - Meteorology and atmospheric sciences

Project

Result was created during the realization of more than one project. More information in the Projects tab.

Continuities

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Publication year

2025

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

Sustainable Cities and Society

ISSN

2210-6707

e-ISSN

2210-6715

Volume of the periodical

121

Issue of the periodical within the volume

MAR

Country of publishing house

NL - THE KINGDOM OF THE NETHERLANDS

Number of pages

12

Pages from-to

106202

UT code for WoS article

001426364700001

EID of the result in the Scopus database

2-s2.0-85217254716