Bark beetle-induced salvage logging cycle is caused by weather patterns linked to the NAO and solar cycle in Central Europe

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F67985815%3A_____%2F25%3A00619668" target="_blank" >RIV/67985815:_____/25:00619668 - isvavai.cz</a>

Alternative codes found

RIV/00216208:11320/25:10510053 RIV/60460709:41320/25:102594 RIV/00020702:_____/25:N0000107

Result on the web

<a href="https://hdl.handle.net/11104/0366313" target="_blank" >https://hdl.handle.net/11104/0366313</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.fecs.2025.100328" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.fecs.2025.100328</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Bark beetle-induced salvage logging cycle is caused by weather patterns linked to the NAO and solar cycle in Central Europe

Original language description

Central Europe has faced major disasters causing fluctuations in salvage logging. These events, driven by natural or human factors, have damaged forest. Climate change is a key factor that cyclically affects these patterns. These forest disasters cause billions in financial losses due to lower wood prices and quality, but their regular cycles are poorly understood. The objective of this study is to conduct a comprehensive analysis of salvage logging in Austria, Czechia, and Slovakia. Analyses indicate an upward trend in bark beetle-induced logging over the past five decades, with a notable surge in salvage logging in recent years. Cyclical fluctuations linked to solar activity represented by total solar irradiance (TSI) have been observed across the data. Higher TSI reduces beetle-induced logging to 3%–5%, while lower TSI increases it to 17%–24% near the solar minimum. An increase to higher seasonal temperature and a decrease to low precipitation one year before leads to a peak in beetle-induced logging, caused by drought. Seasonal precipitation and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) have less impact, but higher precipitation is seen one year after the peak in bark-beetle logging. Droughts regularly occur one year before calamity peaks, confirmed by the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI). Harvests caused by wind and snow events have shorter cycles compared to the longer and more regular cycles of bark beetle-induced harvest. Common wavelet power spectrum analysis revealed a consistent 9- to 12-year cycle across all data sets. Solar cycle significantly impacts forest management through the NAO, precipitation, and temperature. The study suggests the potential for utilizing cyclical relationships in calamity prediction and more effective forest management in Central Europe.

Czech name

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Czech description

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Type

J_imp - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

CEP classification

—

OECD FORD branch

10511 - Environmental sciences (social aspects to be 5.7)

Project

<a href="/en/project/QK21010198" target="_blank" >QK21010198: Adaptation of forestry for sustainable use of natural resources</a><br>

Continuities

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Publication year

2025

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

Forest Ecosystems

ISSN

2095-6355

e-ISSN

2197-5620

Volume of the periodical

13

Issue of the periodical within the volume

Aug.

Country of publishing house

CN - CHINA

Number of pages

15

Pages from-to

100328

UT code for WoS article

001491498600001

EID of the result in the Scopus database

2-s2.0-105003223220