Dynamic Species Distribution Modeling Reveals the Pivotal Role of Human-Mediated Long-Distance Dispersal in Plant Invasion
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F67985939%3A_____%2F22%3A00561636" target="_blank" >RIV/67985939:_____/22:00561636 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
<a href="https://doi.org/10.3390/biology11091293" target="_blank" >https://doi.org/10.3390/biology11091293</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/biology11091293" target="_blank" >10.3390/biology11091293</a>
Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Dynamic Species Distribution Modeling Reveals the Pivotal Role of Human-Mediated Long-Distance Dispersal in Plant Invasion
Original language description
We use Bayesian dynamic species distribution models to explore the roles of long-distance dispersal and age-structured fecundity in the transient invasion dynamics of Plectranthus barbatus, a woody plant invader in South Africa. Our lattice-based model accounts for both short and human-mediated long-distance dispersal, as well as age-structured fecundity. We fitted our model on opportunistic occurrences, accounting for the spatio-temporal variations of the sampling effort and the variable detection rates across datasets. The Bayesian framework enables us to integrate a priori knowledge on demographic parameters and control identifiability issues. The model revealed a massive wave of spatial spread driven by human-mediated long-distance dispersal during the first decade and a subsequent drastic population growth, leading to a global equilibrium in the mid-1990s. Without long-distance dispersal, the maximum population would have been equivalent to 30% of the current equilibrium population. We further identified the reproductive maturity at three years old, which contributed to the lag phase before the final wave of population growth. Our results highlighted the importance of the early eradication of weedy horticultural alien plants around urban areas to hamper and delay the invasive spread.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
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OECD FORD branch
10618 - Ecology
Result continuities
Project
<a href="/en/project/EF18_053%2F0017850" target="_blank" >EF18_053/0017850: Mobility 2020</a><br>
Continuities
I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace
Others
Publication year
2022
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
Biology
ISSN
2079-7737
e-ISSN
2079-7737
Volume of the periodical
11
Issue of the periodical within the volume
9
Country of publishing house
CH - SWITZERLAND
Number of pages
33
Pages from-to
1293
UT code for WoS article
000856233600001
EID of the result in the Scopus database
2-s2.0-85138719524