Citizen science helps predictions of climate change impact on flowering phenology: A study on Anemone nemorosa
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F67985939%3A_____%2F22%3A00562210" target="_blank" >RIV/67985939:_____/22:00562210 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
<a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2022.109133" target="_blank" >https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2022.109133</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2022.109133" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.agrformet.2022.109133</a>
Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Citizen science helps predictions of climate change impact on flowering phenology: A study on Anemone nemorosa
Original language description
We assessed citizen science databases usefulness in large-scale phenological research on temperate forest understory species, using a common and widely distributed in Europe: Anemone nemorosa. We analyzed 9804 photos from these databases. We predicted flowering dates for the present and future climate according to Shared Socioeconomic Pathways averaged over four global circulation models for 2040–60 and 2060–80 across A. nemorosa natural range. The predicted changes in the phenology of flowering will not significantly change the duration of flowering but will accelerate onset of this phenophase by about one month. Predicted changes will differ spatially, being the largest in Eastern Europe. Our study showed that citizen science might provide a valuable dataset that allows for developing reliable models of plant phenology.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
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OECD FORD branch
10611 - Plant sciences, botany
Result continuities
Project
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Continuities
I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace
Others
Publication year
2022
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
ISSN
0168-1923
e-ISSN
1873-2240
Volume of the periodical
325
Issue of the periodical within the volume
15 October
Country of publishing house
NL - THE KINGDOM OF THE NETHERLANDS
Number of pages
11
Pages from-to
109133
UT code for WoS article
000861223400002
EID of the result in the Scopus database
2-s2.0-85136156082