Invasion risk of the currently cultivated alien flora in southern Africa is predicted to decline under climate change
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F67985939%3A_____%2F24%3A00599009" target="_blank" >RIV/67985939:_____/24:00599009 - isvavai.cz</a>
Alternative codes found
RIV/00216208:11310/24:10489105
Result on the web
<a href="https://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.07010" target="_blank" >https://doi.org/10.1111/ecog.07010</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/ecog.07010" target="_blank" >10.1111/ecog.07010</a>
Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Invasion risk of the currently cultivated alien flora in southern Africa is predicted to decline under climate change
Original language description
Climate change has already promoted the naturalization of many alien plants in temperate regions, but whether it is similar in (sub)tropical areas is insufficiently known. In this study, we used species distribution models for 1527 cultivated alien plants to evaluate current and future invasion risks across different biomes and 10 countries in southern Africa. Our results confirm that the area of suitable climate is a strong predictor of naturalization success among the cultivated alien flora. In contrast to previous findings from temperate regions, however, climatic suitability is generally predicted to decrease for potential aliens across our (sub)tropical study region. While increasingly hotter and drier conditions are likely to drive declines in suitability for potential aliens across most biomes of southern Africa, in some the number of potential invaders is predicted to increase under moderate climate change scenarios (e.g. in dry broadleaf forests and flooded grasslands).
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
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OECD FORD branch
10618 - Ecology
Result continuities
Project
<a href="/en/project/GX19-28807X" target="_blank" >GX19-28807X: Macroecology of plant invasions: global synthesis across habitats (SynHab)</a><br>
Continuities
I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace
Others
Publication year
2024
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
Ecography
ISSN
0906-7590
e-ISSN
1600-0587
Volume of the periodical
2024
Issue of the periodical within the volume
6
Country of publishing house
US - UNITED STATES
Number of pages
13
Pages from-to
e07010
UT code for WoS article
001198235700001
EID of the result in the Scopus database
2-s2.0-85189707331