The Role of Incumbency, Ethnicity, and New Parties in Electoral Volatility in Slovakia
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F68378025%3A_____%2F20%3A00539667" target="_blank" >RIV/68378025:_____/20:00539667 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
<a href="https://www.politologickycasopis.cz/en/archive/2020/3/" target="_blank" >https://www.politologickycasopis.cz/en/archive/2020/3/</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.5817/PC2020-3-303" target="_blank" >10.5817/PC2020-3-303</a>
Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
The Role of Incumbency, Ethnicity, and New Parties in Electoral Volatility in Slovakia
Original language description
This paper analyses electoral volatility in the 2020 Slovak elections at the level of individual voters using exit poll surveys. The availability of exit polls from the previous elections of 2012 and 2016 allows us to put the 2020 election in context and analyse the patterns (and deviances from them) observed across the three elections. Furthermore, the paper summarizes the aggregate volatility since 1992, demonstrating a high level of net volatility with peaks of over 30 percent. As for the individual level, the analysis concentrates on three important issues in volatility research: (1) vote losses of government parties and the incumbent effect, (2) the role of new parties in mobilization of previous non-voters and first-time voters, (3) since Slovakia is a country with a significant Hungarian minority, special attention is given to vote switching by Hungarian voters and more general patterns of ethnic voting.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
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OECD FORD branch
50601 - Political science
Result continuities
Project
<a href="/en/project/GA19-06096S" target="_blank" >GA19-06096S: Level and sources of electoral volatility in post-communist Europe</a><br>
Continuities
I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace
Others
Publication year
2020
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
Politologický časopis
ISSN
1211-3247
e-ISSN
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Volume of the periodical
27
Issue of the periodical within the volume
3
Country of publishing house
CZ - CZECH REPUBLIC
Number of pages
20
Pages from-to
303-322
UT code for WoS article
000592801300005
EID of the result in the Scopus database
2-s2.0-85100461707