MOS-based precipitation forecasts for river basins.
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F68378289%3A_____%2F03%3A04033555" target="_blank" >RIV/68378289:_____/03:04033555 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
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DOI - Digital Object Identifier
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Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
MOS-based precipitation forecasts for river basins.
Original language description
Statistical interpretation models of the ALADIN/LACE numerical weather prediction (NWP) MOS based precipitation forecasts for river basins model outputs have been developed to improve both quantitative (QPF) and probabilistic (PQPF) precipitation forecasts for the warm season. Daily means of area precipitation are forecast for 7 river basins by using the prognostic fields of the NWP model. Data from 3 warm seasons (April to September, 1998-2000) were used to develop and verify statistical interpretationmodels. Several statistical models based on multiple linear regression were used to produce QPF and compared. Two different statistical models, multiple linear regression and logistic regression, were used to produce PQPF, and their performance was compared. The statistical interpretation models significantly improved both the QPF and PQPF of the NWP model forecast. The RMSE of the QPF from the direct NWP model forecast decreased about 10-30% for individual river basins.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
J<sub>x</sub> - Unclassified - Peer-reviewed scientific article (Jimp, Jsc and Jost)
CEP classification
DG - Atmospheric sciences, meteorology
OECD FORD branch
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Result continuities
Project
<a href="/en/project/GA205%2F01%2F1066" target="_blank" >GA205/01/1066: Quantitative precipitation forecast over small catchment basins</a><br>
Continuities
P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)<br>Z - Vyzkumny zamer (s odkazem do CEZ)
Others
Publication year
2003
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
Weather and Forecasting
ISSN
0882-8156
e-ISSN
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Volume of the periodical
18
Issue of the periodical within the volume
5
Country of publishing house
US - UNITED STATES
Number of pages
12
Pages from-to
769-781
UT code for WoS article
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EID of the result in the Scopus database
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