Estimating the impact of climate change on the occurrence of selected pests in the Central European region
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F68378289%3A_____%2F10%3A00349905" target="_blank" >RIV/68378289:_____/10:00349905 - isvavai.cz</a>
Alternative codes found
RIV/62156489:43210/10:00162293
Result on the web
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DOI - Digital Object Identifier
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Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Estimating the impact of climate change on the occurrence of selected pests in the Central European region
Original language description
This study demonstrates the methodology and benefits of climate-driven modelling tools using the European corn borer (ECB) and Colorado potato beetle (CPB). CLIMEX models of the potential geographical distributions of each species were used to study theeffects of climate change on ECB and CPB by estimating changes in population dynamics and/or infestation pressure during the first half of the 21st century. Simulations were conducted using 3 global circulation models and scaled by low and high values ofglobal temperature change. The results predict an increase in newly established areas and in the number of pest generations per year. The ratio of arable land affected by a particular number of generations is also expected to increase. Another significant result is shown for higher altitudes currently unoccupied by pests. We recorded rapid generation increase (from 0 to 2), which supports the hypothesis that these areas are more affected by increased temperatures.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
J<sub>x</sub> - Unclassified - Peer-reviewed scientific article (Jimp, Jsc and Jost)
CEP classification
DG - Atmospheric sciences, meteorology
OECD FORD branch
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Result continuities
Project
Result was created during the realization of more than one project. More information in the Projects tab.
Continuities
P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)<br>Z - Vyzkumny zamer (s odkazem do CEZ)
Others
Publication year
2010
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
Climate Research
ISSN
0936-577X
e-ISSN
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Volume of the periodical
44
Issue of the periodical within the volume
1
Country of publishing house
DE - GERMANY
Number of pages
11
Pages from-to
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UT code for WoS article
000284005500009
EID of the result in the Scopus database
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