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Estimating the impact of climate change on the occurrence of selected pests in the Central European region

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F68378289%3A_____%2F10%3A00349905" target="_blank" >RIV/68378289:_____/10:00349905 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Alternative codes found

    RIV/62156489:43210/10:00162293

  • Result on the web

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Estimating the impact of climate change on the occurrence of selected pests in the Central European region

  • Original language description

    This study demonstrates the methodology and benefits of climate-driven modelling tools using the European corn borer (ECB) and Colorado potato beetle (CPB). CLIMEX models of the potential geographical distributions of each species were used to study theeffects of climate change on ECB and CPB by estimating changes in population dynamics and/or infestation pressure during the first half of the 21st century. Simulations were conducted using 3 global circulation models and scaled by low and high values ofglobal temperature change. The results predict an increase in newly established areas and in the number of pest generations per year. The ratio of arable land affected by a particular number of generations is also expected to increase. Another significant result is shown for higher altitudes currently unoccupied by pests. We recorded rapid generation increase (from 0 to 2), which supports the hypothesis that these areas are more affected by increased temperatures.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    J<sub>x</sub> - Unclassified - Peer-reviewed scientific article (Jimp, Jsc and Jost)

  • CEP classification

    DG - Atmospheric sciences, meteorology

  • OECD FORD branch

Result continuities

  • Project

    Result was created during the realization of more than one project. More information in the Projects tab.

  • Continuities

    P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)<br>Z - Vyzkumny zamer (s odkazem do CEZ)

Others

  • Publication year

    2010

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Name of the periodical

    Climate Research

  • ISSN

    0936-577X

  • e-ISSN

  • Volume of the periodical

    44

  • Issue of the periodical within the volume

    1

  • Country of publishing house

    DE - GERMANY

  • Number of pages

    11

  • Pages from-to

  • UT code for WoS article

    000284005500009

  • EID of the result in the Scopus database