Nowcasting of precipitation ? Advective statistical forecast model (SAM) for the Czech Republic

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F68378289%3A_____%2F12%3A00373508" target="_blank" >RIV/68378289:_____/12:00373508 - isvavai.cz</a>

Result on the web

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2011.07.013" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2011.07.013</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2011.07.013" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.atmosres.2011.07.013</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Nowcasting of precipitation ? Advective statistical forecast model (SAM) for the Czech Republic

Original language description

This article describes a model SAM for nowcasting precipitation in the Czech Republic. The model is based on an advective-statistical algorithm and utilises radar, satellite, lightning and numerice weather prediction (NWP) model prognostic data. The statistical part of the model is complemented by a distribution correction of forecasted values. The model provides forecasts for mean 1-h, 2-h and 3-h precipitation totals in 9 km by 9 km grid cells. The accuracy of the forecasts is evaluated with independent data by the root-mean-square error, absolute error, bias, and the critical success index (CSI) categorical skill score after transforming the quantitative forecasts into categorical forecasts. Results that the SAM model yielded more accurate predictions than the COTREC model, which is operationally calculated in the Czech hydrometeorological institute, for almost all forecast accuracy statistics considered.

Czech name

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Czech description

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Type

J_x - Unclassified - Peer-reviewed scientific article (Jimp, Jsc and Jost)

CEP classification

DG - Atmospheric sciences, meteorology

OECD FORD branch

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Project

Result was created during the realization of more than one project. More information in the Projects tab.

Continuities

Z - Vyzkumny zamer (s odkazem do CEZ)

Publication year

2012

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

Atmospheric Research

ISSN

0169-8095

e-ISSN

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Volume of the periodical

103

Issue of the periodical within the volume

-

Country of publishing house

NL - THE KINGDOM OF THE NETHERLANDS

Number of pages

10

Pages from-to

70-79

UT code for WoS article

000298776600008

EID of the result in the Scopus database

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