Global and Regional Cardiovascular Mortality Attributable to Nonoptimal Temperatures Over Time
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F68378289%3A_____%2F24%3A00587010" target="_blank" >RIV/68378289:_____/24:00587010 - isvavai.cz</a>
Alternative codes found
RIV/60460709:41330/24:100791
Result on the web
<a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0735109724068918" target="_blank" >https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0735109724068918</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jacc.2024.03.425" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.jacc.2024.03.425</a>
Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Global and Regional Cardiovascular Mortality Attributable to Nonoptimal Temperatures Over Time
Original language description
Background: The association between nonoptimal temperatures and cardiovascular mortality risk is recognized. However, a comprehensive global assessment of this burden is lacking.nObjectives: The goal of this study was to assess global cardiovascular mortality burden attributable to nonoptimal temperatures and investigate spatiotemporal trends.nMethods: Using daily cardiovascular deaths and temperature data from 32 countries, a 3-stage analytical approach was applied. First, location-specific temperature–mortality associations were estimated, considering nonlinearity and delayed effects. Second, a multivariate meta-regression model was developed between location-specific effect estimates and 5 meta-predictors. Third, cardiovascular deaths associated with nonoptimal, cold, and hot temperatures for each global grid (55 km × 55 km resolution) were estimated, and temporal trends from 2000 to 2019 were explored.nResults: Globally, 1,801,513 (95% empirical CI: 1,526,632-2,202,831) annual cardiovascular deaths were associated with nonoptimal temperatures, constituting 8.86% (95% empirical CI: 7.51%-12.32%) of total cardiovascular mortality corresponding to 26 deaths per 100,000 population. Cold-related deaths accounted for 8.20% (95% empirical CI: 6.74%-11.57%), whereas heat-related deaths accounted for 0.66% (95% empirical CI: 0.49%-0.98%). The mortality burden varied significantly across regions, with the highest excess mortality rates observed in Central Asia and Eastern Europe. From 2000 to 2019, cold-related excess death ratios decreased, while heat-related ratios increased, resulting in an overall decline in temperature-related deaths. Southeastern Asia, Sub-Saharan Africa, and Oceania observed the greatest reduction, while Southern Asia experienced an increase. The Americas and several regions in Asia and Europe displayed fluctuating temporal patterns.nConclusions: Nonoptimal temperatures substantially contribute to cardiovascular mortality, with heterogeneous spatiotemporal patterns. Effective mitigation and adaptation strategies are crucial, especially given the increasing heat-related cardiovascular deaths amid climate change.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
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OECD FORD branch
10510 - Climatic research
Result continuities
Project
<a href="/en/project/GA22-24920S" target="_blank" >GA22-24920S: Links between weather, epidemics and seasonal mortality patterns</a><br>
Continuities
I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace
Others
Publication year
2024
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
Journal of the American College of Cardiology
ISSN
0735-1097
e-ISSN
1558-3597
Volume of the periodical
83
Issue of the periodical within the volume
23
Country of publishing house
US - UNITED STATES
Number of pages
12
Pages from-to
2276-2287
UT code for WoS article
001250400600001
EID of the result in the Scopus database
2-s2.0-85194106563