Probabilistic models for tunnel construction risk assessment

Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F68407700%3A21110%2F13%3A00206326" target="_blank" >RIV/68407700:21110/13:00206326 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
<a href="http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0965997813000355" target="_blank" >http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0965997813000355</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.advengsoft.2013.04.002" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.advengsoft.2013.04.002</a>

Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Probabilistic models for tunnel construction risk assessment
Original language description
The paper introduces different probabilistic models for prediction of tunnel construction risk. First, a simple probabilistic model for the estimation of the damage due to tunnel construction failures (e.g. cave-in collapses) is proposed. It can be usedin conjunction with a deterministic estimate of the construction time/costs as a support for decision-making in tunnel construction projects. The occurrence of failures is modelled as an inhomogeneous Poisson process. The model takes into account the heterogeneity of the environment along the tunnel (changing geological conditions, changing damage potential) and it includes the influence of common factors such as human and organisational aspects. The damages caused by the failures are modelled as uncertain and they are thus represented by full probability distributions in the model. Second, the decision-making under uncertainty in construction projects is discussed. The use of the concept of utility for considering the attitude of the s
Czech name
—
Czech description
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Type
J<sub>x</sub> - Unclassified - Peer-reviewed scientific article (Jimp, Jsc and Jost)
CEP classification
JM - Structural engineering
OECD FORD branch
—

Project
<a href="/en/project/TA01030245" target="_blank" >TA01030245: Tools for reliable design and construction of tunnels in urban development with emphasis on safety and lifetime</a><br>
Continuities
P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Publication year
2013
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

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