Global age-sex-specific mortality, life expectancy, and population estimates in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1950–2021, and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F68407700%3A21460%2F24%3A00374653" target="_blank" >RIV/68407700:21460/24:00374653 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
<a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00476-8" target="_blank" >https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00476-8</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00476-8" target="_blank" >10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00476-8</a>
Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Global age-sex-specific mortality, life expectancy, and population estimates in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1950–2021, and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
Original language description
Background: Demographic metrics are crucial for assessing population health outcomes, particularly amid the COVID-19 pandemic's impact, emphasizing the need for timely estimates within long-term trends. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 offers new demographic estimates for 204 countries, with a focus on mortality and life expectancy changes during the pandemic. Methods: Utilizing 22,223 data sources, including vital registration and surveys, mortality and population were estimated, with additional data informing migration, HIV, and demographic disruptions. Spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression synthesized mortality rates. Findings: Global mortality trends showed a decline from 1950 to 2019 but increased during 2020–21 due to the pandemic, while child mortality continued to decrease. Excess mortality from COVID-19 totaled 15.9 million globally. Life expectancy increased historically but declined by 1.6 years between 2019 and 2021. Interpretation: COVID-19 increased adult mortality rates but had slower effects on child mortality. Despite pandemic impacts, global health improved over 72 years, with population aging and growth deceleration observed. These estimates aid stakeholders in understanding post-pandemic shifts and long-term trends.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
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OECD FORD branch
50700 - Social and economic geography
Result continuities
Project
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Continuities
N - Vyzkumna aktivita podporovana z neverejnych zdroju
Others
Publication year
2024
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
The Lancet
ISSN
0140-6736
e-ISSN
1474-547X
Volume of the periodical
S0140-6736
Issue of the periodical within the volume
24
Country of publishing house
US - UNITED STATES
Number of pages
87
Pages from-to
1-87
UT code for WoS article
001311164000001
EID of the result in the Scopus database
2-s2.0-85188720479