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Modelling the Impact of Fiscal Policy on Non Oil GDP in a Resource Rich Country: Evidence from Azerbaijan

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F70883521%3A28120%2F16%3A43874916" target="_blank" >RIV/70883521:28120/16:43874916 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Result on the web

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Modelling the Impact of Fiscal Policy on Non Oil GDP in a Resource Rich Country: Evidence from Azerbaijan

  • Original language description

    This paper analyses the impact of public expenditures and tax revenues on non oil economic growth in Azerbaijan for the period of 2000Q1 2015Q2 by employing OLS, ARDL, FMOLS, DOLS, CCR and Granger Causality techniques. Different cointegration methods result in consistent results. In this study, there is strong evidence of significant long run positive contributions from public expenditures to non oil sector output. Results also show that tax revenues significantly slow down non oil economic growth in the long run. Granger Causality analysis finds the existence of a bidirectional short run association between non oil GDP and public expenditures, while tax revenues Granger Cause both variables. The research findings should be useful for Azerbaijan fiscal policy makers to consider now and in the future. Current plans in Azerbaijan for both public expenditure cuts and tax revenue increases are likely to cause contraction in the Azerbaijan's non oil sector GDP.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    J<sub>x</sub> - Unclassified - Peer-reviewed scientific article (Jimp, Jsc and Jost)

  • CEP classification

    AE - Management, administration and clerical work

  • OECD FORD branch

Result continuities

  • Project

  • Continuities

    V - Vyzkumna aktivita podporovana z jinych verejnych zdroju

Others

  • Publication year

    2016

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Name of the periodical

    Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis

  • ISSN

    1211-8516

  • e-ISSN

  • Volume of the periodical

    64

  • Issue of the periodical within the volume

    6

  • Country of publishing house

    CZ - CZECH REPUBLIC

  • Number of pages

    10

  • Pages from-to

    1869-1878

  • UT code for WoS article

  • EID of the result in the Scopus database