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The role of AI recommendations in extending the Black-Litterman portfolio

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F70883521%3A28120%2F25%3A63599800" target="_blank" >RIV/70883521:28120/25:63599800 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Result on the web

    <a href="https://www.emerald.com/ijicc/article/doi/10.1108/IJICC-03-2025-0137/1323389/The-role-of-AI-recommendations-in-extending-the" target="_blank" >https://www.emerald.com/ijicc/article/doi/10.1108/IJICC-03-2025-0137/1323389/The-role-of-AI-recommendations-in-extending-the</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1108/IJICC-03-2025-0137" target="_blank" >10.1108/IJICC-03-2025-0137</a>

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    The role of AI recommendations in extending the Black-Litterman portfolio

  • Original language description

    Purpose – This study explores the role of artificial intelligence (AI) recommendations in portfolio optimization by extending the Black-Litterman (BL) model using consensus analyst opinions generated by ChatGPT. The aim is to assess if AI recommendations can improve portfolio diversification and risk-adjusted returns compared to traditional investment strategies. Design/methodology/approach – We conducted a quantitative analysis using weekly historical price data across equities, commodities, fixed-income securities and cryptocurrencies from January 2018 to May 2023. Portfolios constructed with the extended BL model were tested against standard benchmarks, including the S&amp;P500 index and various mean-variance portfolios. Out-of-sample performance and robustness were evaluated through 100 random resampling procedures. Findings – Results indicate that integrating AI-generated analyst consensus significantly improves the BL portfolio’s risk-adjusted returns. The AI-enhanced model consistently outperformed traditional mean-variance portfolios, the unadjusted BL model and market benchmarks. Robustness tests confirmed the method’s stability and practical feasibility in real-world investing. Practical implications – Portfolio managers and individual investors can apply this enhanced BL model for more effective asset allocation decisions. Using AI-generated recommendations simplifies the integration of broad analyst perspectives, reduces reliance on subjective human judgments and leads to portfolios that deliver stronger and more consistent risk-adjusted performance. Originality/value – This research is the first to integrate ChatGPT-generated analyst recommendations directly into the BL framework. It addresses critical limitations of modern portfolio theory, particularly estimation errors, offering a practical solution leveraging AI advancements for portfolio optimization.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    J<sub>SC</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the SCOPUS database

  • CEP classification

  • OECD FORD branch

    50204 - Business and management

Result continuities

  • Project

  • Continuities

    V - Vyzkumna aktivita podporovana z jinych verejnych zdroju

Others

  • Publication year

    2025

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Name of the periodical

    International Journal of Intelligent Computing and Cybernetics

  • ISSN

    1756-378X

  • e-ISSN

    1756-3798

  • Volume of the periodical

    19

  • Issue of the periodical within the volume

    1

  • Country of publishing house

    GB - UNITED KINGDOM

  • Number of pages

    24

  • Pages from-to

    "115–138"

  • UT code for WoS article

    001631405700001

  • EID of the result in the Scopus database

    2-s2.0-105025414260