Heat demand forecasting for concrete district heating system
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F70883521%3A28140%2F10%3A63508982" target="_blank" >RIV/70883521:28140/10:63508982 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
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DOI - Digital Object Identifier
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Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Heat demand forecasting for concrete district heating system
Original language description
This paper presents the results of an investigation of a model for short-term heat demand forecasting. Forecast of this heat demand course is significant for short-term planning of heat production and it is most important for technical and economic consideration. Weather forecasts are an important input to many heat demand forecasting models. In this paper we propose the forecast model of heat demand based on the assumption that the course of heat demand can be described sufficiently well as a functionof the outdoor temperature and the weather independent component (social components). Time of the day affects the social components. The time dependence of the load reflects the existence of a daily heat demand pattern, which may vary for different weekdays and seasons. Forecast of social component is realized by means of Box-Jenkins methodology. We have studied half-hourly heat demand data, covering a three (four) month period in two concrete district heating systems (DHS) of the Czech
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
J<sub>x</sub> - Unclassified - Peer-reviewed scientific article (Jimp, Jsc and Jost)
CEP classification
JE - Non-nuclear power engineering, energy consumption and utilization
OECD FORD branch
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Result continuities
Project
<a href="/en/project/2C06007" target="_blank" >2C06007: Intelligent approach to energetic system control of urban agglomeration.</a><br>
Continuities
P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)<br>Z - Vyzkumny zamer (s odkazem do CEZ)
Others
Publication year
2010
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
International Journal of Mathematical Models and Methods in Applied Science
ISSN
1998-0140
e-ISSN
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Volume of the periodical
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Issue of the periodical within the volume
4
Country of publishing house
GB - UNITED KINGDOM
Number of pages
9
Pages from-to
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UT code for WoS article
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EID of the result in the Scopus database
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