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Heat demand forecasting for concrete district heating system

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F70883521%3A28140%2F10%3A63508982" target="_blank" >RIV/70883521:28140/10:63508982 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Result on the web

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Heat demand forecasting for concrete district heating system

  • Original language description

    This paper presents the results of an investigation of a model for short-term heat demand forecasting. Forecast of this heat demand course is significant for short-term planning of heat production and it is most important for technical and economic consideration. Weather forecasts are an important input to many heat demand forecasting models. In this paper we propose the forecast model of heat demand based on the assumption that the course of heat demand can be described sufficiently well as a functionof the outdoor temperature and the weather independent component (social components). Time of the day affects the social components. The time dependence of the load reflects the existence of a daily heat demand pattern, which may vary for different weekdays and seasons. Forecast of social component is realized by means of Box-Jenkins methodology. We have studied half-hourly heat demand data, covering a three (four) month period in two concrete district heating systems (DHS) of the Czech

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    J<sub>x</sub> - Unclassified - Peer-reviewed scientific article (Jimp, Jsc and Jost)

  • CEP classification

    JE - Non-nuclear power engineering, energy consumption and utilization

  • OECD FORD branch

Result continuities

  • Project

    <a href="/en/project/2C06007" target="_blank" >2C06007: Intelligent approach to energetic system control of urban agglomeration.</a><br>

  • Continuities

    P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)<br>Z - Vyzkumny zamer (s odkazem do CEZ)

Others

  • Publication year

    2010

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Name of the periodical

    International Journal of Mathematical Models and Methods in Applied Science

  • ISSN

    1998-0140

  • e-ISSN

  • Volume of the periodical

  • Issue of the periodical within the volume

    4

  • Country of publishing house

    GB - UNITED KINGDOM

  • Number of pages

    9

  • Pages from-to

  • UT code for WoS article

  • EID of the result in the Scopus database