Comparison of Success Rate of Numerical Weather Prediction Models with Forecasting System of Convective Precipitation

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F70883521%3A28140%2F16%3A43874393" target="_blank" >RIV/70883521:28140/16:43874393 - isvavai.cz</a>

Result on the web

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-33625-1_28" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-33625-1_28</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-33625-1_28" target="_blank" >10.1007/978-3-319-33625-1_28</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Comparison of Success Rate of Numerical Weather Prediction Models with Forecasting System of Convective Precipitation

Original language description

The aim of this article is to compare a success rate of a chosen nu-merical weather prediction (NWP) models with a forecasting system of convec-tive precipitation based on an analysis of ten historical weather events over the territory of the Zlin Region for the year 2015. This paper is based on a previous article "Evaluation of the accuracy of numerical weather prediction models". The first chapter is a theoretical framework describing the current forecasting systems of convective precipitation, which are selected NWP models and fore-casting system of convective precipitation. This chapter describes the principle of creating predictions and selection of individual NWP models. Furthermore, they are provided with basic information about the prediction of convective precipitation. The second chapter outlines the principles of the methods used for evaluating the success rate of forecast precipitation. In the discussion, results of these methods on selected historical weather situations are published. Finally, the work contains an overview of the most accurate NWP models in compari-son with the forecasting system of convective precipitation. This refined predic-tive information of convective precipitation may be especially useful for the cri-sis management authorities for preventive measures against the occurrence of flash floods.

Czech name

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Czech description

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Type

D - Article in proceedings

CEP classification

IN - Informatics

OECD FORD branch

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Project

Result was created during the realization of more than one project. More information in the Projects tab.

Continuities

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)<br>S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Publication year

2016

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Article name in the collection

Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing

ISBN

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ISSN

2194-5357

e-ISSN

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Number of pages

12

Pages from-to

307-319

Publisher name

Springer-Verlag GmbH

Place of publication

Heidelberg

Event location

Praha

Event date

Apr 27, 2016

Type of event by nationality

WRD - Celosvětová akce

UT code for WoS article

000385237600028