Impacts of the war on prices of Ukrainian wheat
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F75081431%3A_____%2F23%3A00002653" target="_blank" >RIV/75081431:_____/23:00002653 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
<a href="https://agricecon.agriculturejournals.cz/artkey/age-202310-0002_impacts-of-the-war-on-prices-of-ukrainian-wheat.php" target="_blank" >https://agricecon.agriculturejournals.cz/artkey/age-202310-0002_impacts-of-the-war-on-prices-of-ukrainian-wheat.php</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
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Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Impacts of the war on prices of Ukrainian wheat
Original language description
The Russian-Ukrainian armed conflict significantly affected wheat production and its export from Ukraine, mainly during the war outbreak. Since both countries rank among the major global wheat producers, the warfare dis-rupted wheat supplies, hastily pushing the prices. Based on the analysed data, we carried out research using multilayer perceptron networks. The findings suggest the biggest price increase between February and March 2022, witnessing wheat prices at about 1 400 USD per t. We predict a decline to the pre-war values until the end of 2025, estimating its rates between 600 USD and 800 USD per t. This price slump may involve signing an agreement on unblocking Ukrainian seaports, which would restore wheat exports. Yet, our survey is confined to historical data, which do not suggest any dramatic event that would alarmingly sway wheat prices.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
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OECD FORD branch
50200 - Economics and Business
Result continuities
Project
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Continuities
V - Vyzkumna aktivita podporovana z jinych verejnych zdroju
Others
Publication year
2023
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS
ISSN
0139-570X
e-ISSN
1805-9295
Volume of the periodical
69
Issue of the periodical within the volume
10
Country of publishing house
CZ - CZECH REPUBLIC
Number of pages
12
Pages from-to
404-415
UT code for WoS article
001092325700003
EID of the result in the Scopus database
2-s2.0-85182213361