Global impacts of future cropland expansion and intensification on agricultural markets and biodiversity
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F86652079%3A_____%2F19%3A00506947" target="_blank" >RIV/86652079:_____/19:00506947 - isvavai.cz</a>
Alternative codes found
RIV/61989592:15310/19:73595794
Result on the web
<a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-019-10775-z.pdf" target="_blank" >https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-019-10775-z.pdf</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-10775-z" target="_blank" >10.1038/s41467-019-10775-z</a>
Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Global impacts of future cropland expansion and intensification on agricultural markets and biodiversity
Original language description
With rising demand for biomass, cropland expansion and intensification represent the main strategies to boost agricultural production, but are also major drivers of biodiversity decline. We investigate the consequences of attaining equal global production gains by 2030, either by cropland expansion or intensification, and analyse their impacts on agricultural markets and biodiversity. We find that both scenarios lead to lower crop prices across the world, even in regions where production decreases. Cropland expansion mostly affects biodiversity hotspots in Central and South America, while cropland intensification threatens biodiversity especially in Sub-Saharan Africa, India and China. Our results suggest that production gains will occur at the costs of biodiversity predominantly in developing tropical regions, while Europe and North America benefit from lower world market prices without putting their own biodiversity at risk. By identifying hotspots of potential future conflicts, we demonstrate where conservation prioritization is needed to balance agricultural production with conservation goals.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
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OECD FORD branch
40101 - Agriculture
Result continuities
Project
<a href="/en/project/EF16_019%2F0000797" target="_blank" >EF16_019/0000797: SustES - Adaptation strategies for sustainable ecosystem services and food security under adverse environmental conditions</a><br>
Continuities
P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)
Others
Publication year
2019
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
Nature Communications
ISSN
2041-1723
e-ISSN
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Volume of the periodical
10
Issue of the periodical within the volume
jun
Country of publishing house
GB - UNITED KINGDOM
Number of pages
10
Pages from-to
2844
UT code for WoS article
000473132200008
EID of the result in the Scopus database
2-s2.0-85068182749