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Global impacts of future cropland expansion and intensification on agricultural markets and biodiversity

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F86652079%3A_____%2F19%3A00506947" target="_blank" >RIV/86652079:_____/19:00506947 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Alternative codes found

    RIV/61989592:15310/19:73595794

  • Result on the web

    <a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-019-10775-z.pdf" target="_blank" >https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-019-10775-z.pdf</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-10775-z" target="_blank" >10.1038/s41467-019-10775-z</a>

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Global impacts of future cropland expansion and intensification on agricultural markets and biodiversity

  • Original language description

    With rising demand for biomass, cropland expansion and intensification represent the main strategies to boost agricultural production, but are also major drivers of biodiversity decline. We investigate the consequences of attaining equal global production gains by 2030, either by cropland expansion or intensification, and analyse their impacts on agricultural markets and biodiversity. We find that both scenarios lead to lower crop prices across the world, even in regions where production decreases. Cropland expansion mostly affects biodiversity hotspots in Central and South America, while cropland intensification threatens biodiversity especially in Sub-Saharan Africa, India and China. Our results suggest that production gains will occur at the costs of biodiversity predominantly in developing tropical regions, while Europe and North America benefit from lower world market prices without putting their own biodiversity at risk. By identifying hotspots of potential future conflicts, we demonstrate where conservation prioritization is needed to balance agricultural production with conservation goals.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

  • CEP classification

  • OECD FORD branch

    40101 - Agriculture

Result continuities

  • Project

    <a href="/en/project/EF16_019%2F0000797" target="_blank" >EF16_019/0000797: SustES - Adaptation strategies for sustainable ecosystem services and food security under adverse environmental conditions</a><br>

  • Continuities

    P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Others

  • Publication year

    2019

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Name of the periodical

    Nature Communications

  • ISSN

    2041-1723

  • e-ISSN

  • Volume of the periodical

    10

  • Issue of the periodical within the volume

    jun

  • Country of publishing house

    GB - UNITED KINGDOM

  • Number of pages

    10

  • Pages from-to

    2844

  • UT code for WoS article

    000473132200008

  • EID of the result in the Scopus database

    2-s2.0-85068182749