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Easy come, easy go: Short-term land-use dynamics vis a` vis regional economic downturns

Result description

The present study postulates distinctive land-use dynamics along the economic cycle, and tests against diverging trends over time of urban and non-urban land-uses with characteristic economic potential. Short-term land-use changes over seven time windows encompassing the last three decades (1992-2020) were investigated in metropolitan Athens (Greece), a mono-centric region experiencing complex economic downturns. Based on diachronic land-use maps with homogeneous spatial resolution and nomenclature derived from ESA Climate Change Initiative (ESA-CCI), a change detection analysis was run considering mean patch size, distance from downtown, and specific entropy-based metrics of landscape diversification (Shannon-Wiener H' diversity index and Pielou J evenness index). Results of a canonical correlation analysis document differential intensity and spatial direction of change during expansions and recessions associated with distinctive socio-demographic profiles. Metropolitan growth followed a radio-centric (land-saving) model during economic expansions with intense urbanization of fringe land. A more dispersed settlement model reflecting urban sprawl was associated with economic stagnations, involving land at progressively distant locations from downtown. Landscape diversification was higher under stagnations and lower during expansions.

Keywords

Metropolitan cycleSprawlIndicatorsPartial least square regressionMediterranean Europe

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Easy come, easy go: Short-term land-use dynamics vis a` vis regional economic downturns

  • Original language description

    The present study postulates distinctive land-use dynamics along the economic cycle, and tests against diverging trends over time of urban and non-urban land-uses with characteristic economic potential. Short-term land-use changes over seven time windows encompassing the last three decades (1992-2020) were investigated in metropolitan Athens (Greece), a mono-centric region experiencing complex economic downturns. Based on diachronic land-use maps with homogeneous spatial resolution and nomenclature derived from ESA Climate Change Initiative (ESA-CCI), a change detection analysis was run considering mean patch size, distance from downtown, and specific entropy-based metrics of landscape diversification (Shannon-Wiener H' diversity index and Pielou J evenness index). Results of a canonical correlation analysis document differential intensity and spatial direction of change during expansions and recessions associated with distinctive socio-demographic profiles. Metropolitan growth followed a radio-centric (land-saving) model during economic expansions with intense urbanization of fringe land. A more dispersed settlement model reflecting urban sprawl was associated with economic stagnations, involving land at progressively distant locations from downtown. Landscape diversification was higher under stagnations and lower during expansions.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    Jimp - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

  • CEP classification

  • OECD FORD branch

    50204 - Business and management

Result continuities

  • Project

  • Continuities

    I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Others

  • Publication year

    2023

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Name of the periodical

    SOCIO-ECONOMIC PLANNING SCIENCES

  • ISSN

    0038-0121

  • e-ISSN

    1873-6041

  • Volume of the periodical

    88

  • Issue of the periodical within the volume

    AUG

  • Country of publishing house

    GB - UNITED KINGDOM

  • Number of pages

    10

  • Pages from-to

    101603

  • UT code for WoS article

    001046931300001

  • EID of the result in the Scopus database

    2-s2.0-85159233518

Basic information

Result type

Jimp - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

Jimp

OECD FORD

Business and management

Year of implementation

2023