Recent summer warming over the western Mediterranean region is unprecedented since medieval times

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F86652079%3A_____%2F24%3A00582404" target="_blank" >RIV/86652079:_____/24:00582404 - isvavai.cz</a>

Alternative codes found

RIV/00216224:14310/24:00139121

Result on the web

<a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818123003107?via%3Dihub" target="_blank" >https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0921818123003107?via%3Dihub</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2023.104336" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.gloplacha.2023.104336</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Recent summer warming over the western Mediterranean region is unprecedented since medieval times

Original language description

Contextualising anthropogenic warming and investigating linkages between past climate variability and human history require high-resolution temperature reconstructions that extend before the period of instrumental measurements. Here, we present maximum latewood density (MXD) measurements of 534 living and relict Pinus uncinata trees from undisturbed upper treeline ecotones in the Spanish central Pyrenees. Spanning the period 1119-2020 CE continuously, our new MXD composite chronology correlates significantly with gridded May-September mean temperatures over the western Mediterranean region (r = 0.76, p <= 0.001, 1950-2020 CE). Based on an integrative ensemble approach, our reconstruction reveals unprecedented summer warming since 2003 CE. The coldest and warmest reconstructed temperature anomalies are3.4 (+/- 1.4) degrees C in 1258 and 2.6 (+/- 2.2) degrees C in 2017 (relative to 1961-90). Abrupt summer cooling of1.5 (+/- 1.0) degrees C was found after 20 large volcanic eruptions since medieval times. Comparison of our summer temperature reconstruction with newly compiled historical evidence from the Iberian Peninsula suggests a lack of military conflict during or following exceptionally hot or cold summers, as well as a general tendency towards less warfare and more stable wheat prices during warmer periods. Our study demonstrates the importance of updating and refining annually resolved and absolutely dated climate reconstructions to place recent trends and extremes of anthropogenic warming in a long-term context of natural temperature variability, and to better understand how past climate and environmental changes affected ecological and societal systems.

Czech name

—

Czech description

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Type

J_imp - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

CEP classification

—

OECD FORD branch

10510 - Climatic research

Project

<a href="/en/project/GA23-08049S" target="_blank" >GA23-08049S: Central European HYDRoclimate from Oak stable isotopes over the past 8000 years – HYDRO8</a><br>

Continuities

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Publication year

2024

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

Global and Planetary Change

ISSN

0921-8181

e-ISSN

1872-6364

Volume of the periodical

232

Issue of the periodical within the volume

JAN

Country of publishing house

NL - THE KINGDOM OF THE NETHERLANDS

Number of pages

13

Pages from-to

104336

UT code for WoS article

001138561300001

EID of the result in the Scopus database

2-s2.0-85179885690