Past and Future Climate-Driven Changes of Agricultural Land in Central Europe
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F86652079%3A_____%2F24%3A00603394" target="_blank" >RIV/86652079:_____/24:00603394 - isvavai.cz</a>
Alternative codes found
RIV/68081758:_____/24:00603394 RIV/00216224:14310/24:00138274 RIV/62156489:43210/24:43926285 RIV/62156489:43410/24:43926285
Result on the web
<a href="https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2024GL112363" target="_blank" >https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2024GL112363</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2024GL112363" target="_blank" >10.1029/2024GL112363</a>
Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Past and Future Climate-Driven Changes of Agricultural Land in Central Europe
Original language description
Europe is expected to experience major climatic shifts during the 21st century but the impact on agricultural productivity from such changes is uncertain. Here, we combine proxy, instrumental, and model data to assess interannual to multi-centennial changes in central European agroclimate over the past 2,000 years and projections into the near future. Whereas early 21st century conditions are rare but not fully unprecedented, more than half of the area that was considered highly productive throughout the Common Era in central Europe currently falls outside of that definition. This trend will likely continue as even the most conservative climate projections push central Europe outside the range of past natural variability of changes to agroclimatic zones. Reconstructed extremes prior to the instrumental record align well with contemporary documentary records of societal upheaval. Forecasted changes to the main agroclimatic drivers require substantial adaptation in land use and agricultural management strategies of considerable costs.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
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OECD FORD branch
10505 - Geology
Result continuities
Project
Result was created during the realization of more than one project. More information in the Projects tab.
Continuities
I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace
Others
Publication year
2024
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
Geophysical Research Letters
ISSN
0094-8276
e-ISSN
1944-8007
Volume of the periodical
51
Issue of the periodical within the volume
24
Country of publishing house
US - UNITED STATES
Number of pages
11
Pages from-to
e2024GL112363
UT code for WoS article
001381111800001
EID of the result in the Scopus database
2-s2.0-85212752863