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Structural Breaks in Time Series

Project goals

Statistical modelling of trends and changes in time series has attracted many statisticians in the last two decades. The reason is that there is a whole spectrum of applications when data indicate trend(s) or change(s) and as a consequence it also results in a number of interesting theoretical problems.In this project we want to focus on developing techniques fot the statistical analysis in sedies of dependent data (time series), that is to detect structural breaks (change-points) in certain model assumptions via specific testing or monitoring procedures. Since data sets from applications typically do not satisfy certain assumptions of independence or identical distributions, we aim at further developing change-point methods for dependent data. The idea is to modify existing procedures, which have been developed for the independent case, to models possessing certain dependency structures, and taking these specific dependencies in the design of schemes. A further goal is to obtain corresponding theoretical results for multivariate time series, again in according to the requirements from apllications.

Keywords

statistické postupystrukturální změnyčasové řady

Public support

  • Provider

    Czech Science Foundation

  • Programme

    International projects

  • Call for proposals

    Mezinárodní projekty 3 (SGA02009GA1GC)

  • Main participants

  • Contest type

    VS - Public tender

  • Contract ID

    201/09/J006

Alternative language

  • Project name in Czech

    Strukturální změny v časových řadách

  • Annotation in Czech

    Cílem je vyvinout, popř. modifikovat dříve vyvinuté statistické modely, které by co nejlépe vystihovaly trendy a změny v pozorovaných časových řadách, najít co nejslabší předpoklady, které odpovídají reálné situaci a při kterých lze odvodit teoretické statistické vlastnosti.

Scientific branches

  • R&D category

    ZV - Basic research

  • CEP classification - main branch

    BA - General mathematics

  • CEP - secondary branch

    BB - Applied statistics, operational research

  • CEP - another secondary branch

  • 10101 - Pure mathematics
    10103 - Statistics and probability

Completed project evaluation

  • Provider evaluation

    U - Uspěl podle zadání (s publikovanými či patentovanými výsledky atd.)

  • Project results evaluation

    The project gone according to plan both in terms of expertise and in terms of disbursement of funds.

Solution timeline

  • Realization period - beginning

    Jan 1, 2009

  • Realization period - end

    Dec 31, 2011

  • Project status

    U - Finished project

  • Latest support payment

    Apr 16, 2011

Data delivery to CEP

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

  • Data delivery code

    CEP12-GA0-GC-U/01:1

  • Data delivery date

    Feb 9, 2015

Finance

  • Total approved costs

    1,226 thou. CZK

  • Public financial support

    1,226 thou. CZK

  • Other public sources

    0 thou. CZK

  • Non public and foreign sources

    0 thou. CZK

Recognised costs

1 226 CZK thou.

Public support

1 226 CZK thou.

0%


Provider

Czech Science Foundation

CEP

BA - General mathematics

Solution period

01. 01. 2009 - 31. 12. 2011