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Elicitation of Expert Prior Opinion: Application to the MYPAN Trial in Childhood Polyarteritis Nodosa

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216208%3A11110%2F15%3A10294990" target="_blank" >RIV/00216208:11110/15:10294990 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Alternative codes found

    RIV/00064165:_____/15:10294990

  • Result on the web

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0120981" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0120981</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0120981" target="_blank" >10.1371/journal.pone.0120981</a>

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Elicitation of Expert Prior Opinion: Application to the MYPAN Trial in Childhood Polyarteritis Nodosa

  • Original language description

    Objectives Definitive sample sizes for clinical trials in rare diseases are usually infeasible. Bayesian methodology can be used to maximise what is learnt from clinical trials in these circumstances. We elicited expert prior opinion for a future Bayesian randomised controlled trial for a rare inflammatory paediatric disease, polyarteritis nodosa (MYPAN, Mycophenolate mofetil for polyarteritis nodosa). Methods A Bayesian prior elicitation meeting was convened. Opinion was sought on the probability thata patient in the MYPAN trial treated with cyclophosphamide would achieve disease remission within 6-months, and on the relative efficacies of mycophenolate mofetil and cyclophosphamide. Expert opinion was combined with previously unseen data from a recently completed randomised controlled trial in ANCA associated vasculitis. Results A pan-European group of fifteen experts participated in the elicitation meeting. Consensus expert prior opinion was that the most likely rates of disease rem

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    J<sub>x</sub> - Unclassified - Peer-reviewed scientific article (Jimp, Jsc and Jost)

  • CEP classification

    FG - Paediatrics

  • OECD FORD branch

Result continuities

  • Project

  • Continuities

    V - Vyzkumna aktivita podporovana z jinych verejnych zdroju

Others

  • Publication year

    2015

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Name of the periodical

    PLoS ONE

  • ISSN

    1932-6203

  • e-ISSN

  • Volume of the periodical

    10

  • Issue of the periodical within the volume

    3

  • Country of publishing house

    US - UNITED STATES

  • Number of pages

    14

  • Pages from-to

  • UT code for WoS article

    000352134700081

  • EID of the result in the Scopus database

    2-s2.0-84926673274