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Fiscal developments and financial stress: a threshold VAR analysis

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216208%3A11230%2F18%3A10363588" target="_blank" >RIV/00216208:11230/18:10363588 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Alternative codes found

    RIV/67985556:_____/18:00488303

  • Result on the web

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00181-016-1210-5" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00181-016-1210-5</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00181-016-1210-5" target="_blank" >10.1007/s00181-016-1210-5</a>

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Fiscal developments and financial stress: a threshold VAR analysis

  • Original language description

    We use a threshold VAR analysis to study the linkages between changes in the debt ratio, economic activity and financial stress within different financial regimes. We use quarterly data for the US, the UK, Germany and Italy, for the period 1980:4-2014:1, encompassing macro, fiscal and financial variables, and use nonlinear impulse responses allowing for endogenous regime-switches in response to structural shocks. The results show that output reacts mostly positively to an increase in the debt ratio in both financial stress regimes; however, the differences in estimated multipliers across regimes are relatively small. Furthermore, a financial stress shock has a negative effect on output and worsens the fiscal situation. The large time-variation and the estimated nonlinear impulse responses suggest that the size of the fiscal multipliers was higher than average in the 2008-2009 crisis.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

  • CEP classification

  • OECD FORD branch

    50201 - Economic Theory

Result continuities

  • Project

    <a href="/en/project/GBP402%2F12%2FG097" target="_blank" >GBP402/12/G097: DYME-Dynamic Models in Economics</a><br>

  • Continuities

    P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Others

  • Publication year

    2018

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Name of the periodical

    Empirical Economics

  • ISSN

    0377-7332

  • e-ISSN

  • Volume of the periodical

    54

  • Issue of the periodical within the volume

    2

  • Country of publishing house

    AT - AUSTRIA

  • Number of pages

    29

  • Pages from-to

    395-423

  • UT code for WoS article

    000425952000004

  • EID of the result in the Scopus database

    2-s2.0-85008220563