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Credit Spreads and the Links between the Financial and Real Sectors in a Small Open Economy: The Case of the Czech Republic

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F26138077%3A_____%2F14%3A%230000695" target="_blank" >RIV/26138077:_____/14:#0000695 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Result on the web

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Credit Spreads and the Links between the Financial and Real Sectors in a Small Open Economy: The Case of the Czech Republic

  • Original language description

    Various approaches have been employed to explore the possibility of non-linear feedback between the real and financial sector. The present study focuses on the impact of real shocks on selected financial sector indicators, and the responses of the real economy to impulses emanating from the financial sector. We estimate the threshold Bayesian VAR with block restrictions and the credit spread as a threshold variable using the example of the Czech Republic. We find that while there is no evidence of asymmetric effects across positive and negative shocks, the responses of the financial sector to real shocks tend to differ in low and high credit spread regimes. Responses in the opposite direction (i.e. from the financial sector to the real economy) are procyclical and similar irrespective of regime. A positive shock to credit and a negative shock to the NPL increase industrial production over the entire time horizon. The direct impact of foreign factors on lending seems to be rather limite

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    O - Miscellaneous

  • CEP classification

    AH - Economics

  • OECD FORD branch

Result continuities

  • Project

    <a href="/en/project/GA13-08549S" target="_blank" >GA13-08549S: Post-crisis regulation of banks and its impact on economic activity in a small export-oriented economy</a><br>

  • Continuities

    P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Others

  • Publication year

    2014

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů