Depopulation in Moldova: The main challenge in the context of extremly high emigration

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216208%3A11310%2F23%3A10458553" target="_blank" >RIV/00216208:11310/23:10458553 - isvavai.cz</a>

Result on the web

<a href="https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=ciLR5TsroQ" target="_blank" >https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=ciLR5TsroQ</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1553/p-ke2z-76zz" target="_blank" >10.1553/p-ke2z-76zz</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Depopulation in Moldova: The main challenge in the context of extremly high emigration

Original language description

In Moldova, there has been a long-term decline in the population, mainly due to high levels of emigration. The article presents an analysis of population dynamics in Moldova over the last three decades, and estimates the contributions of fertility, mortality and migration to this process. Using population censuses, data on the population with usual residence, vital statistics and data on Moldovan immigrants from the host countries&apos; statistical institutes,we estimate population changes between 1991-2021, and present demographic projections up to 2040. The results show that migration outflows account for more than 90% of the depopulation trend, with high levels of premature mortality accelerating the natural decline. The fall in births is associated with a decrease in the reproductive-age population. The total fertility rate has been decreasing gradually, while the cohort fertility rates have not fallen below 1.75 live births per woman. Past migration and low fertility are projected to result in long-term population decline. Demographic ageing is expected to increase. While population decline cannot be stopped, its scale can be limited through reductions in emigration and mortality. This study on population decline in Moldova helps to complete the demographic picture of Europe in the 20th century and into the 21st century.

Czech name

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Czech description

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Type

J_SC - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the SCOPUS database

CEP classification

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OECD FORD branch

50402 - Demography

Project

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Continuities

S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach<br>I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Publication year

2023

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

Vienna Yearbook of Population Research

ISSN

1728-4414

e-ISSN

1728-5305

Volume of the periodical

21

Issue of the periodical within the volume

Winter

Country of publishing house

AT - AUSTRIA

Number of pages

25

Pages from-to

419-443

UT code for WoS article

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EID of the result in the Scopus database

2-s2.0-85162943440