From Economic Turbulence to Demographic Change: Tracing the Pathways of the Second Demographic Transition in Post-Socialist Contexts
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216208%3A11310%2F25%3A10486177" target="_blank" >RIV/00216208:11310/25:10486177 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
<a href="https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=mIr-qRg9KS" target="_blank" >https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=mIr-qRg9KS</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.14712/23361980.2024.15" target="_blank" >10.14712/23361980.2024.15</a>
Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
From Economic Turbulence to Demographic Change: Tracing the Pathways of the Second Demographic Transition in Post-Socialist Contexts
Original language description
Building on the rich tapestry of demographic and economic research, this paper extends the analysis of the Second Demographic Transition (SDT) within the milieu of four post-socialist countries (PSCs) and Austria, shedding light on the nuanced interplay between economic variables and demographic indices such as the Total Fertility Rate (TFR) and the SDT1 Behavioral Index. Drawing from an extensive dataset spanning over two decades, the study applies Pearson's correlation analysis, Holt's Exponential Smoothing, and stepwise regression to unravel the complexities of demographic behaviors in the face of economic prosperity and inequality, as measured by GDP, Gini coefficient, and the HDI. The findings reaffirm the pivotal role of economic factors in shaping demographic trends and highlight the divergent paths PSCs have embarked upon compared to Austria, a representation of Western Europe's demographic evolution. This comparative analysis underscores the significance of wealth distribution in influencing demographic outcomes, offering a comprehensive understanding of the SDT's progression in the context of economic transitions. The research contributes to the broader discourse on demographic changes, providing insightful implications for policy and future studies in the dynamic landscape of post-socialist Europe and beyond.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
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OECD FORD branch
50402 - Demography
Result continuities
Project
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Continuities
S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach<br>I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace
Others
Publication year
2025
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
Acta Universitatis Carolinae. Geographica
ISSN
0300-5402
e-ISSN
2336-1980
Volume of the periodical
60
Issue of the periodical within the volume
1
Country of publishing house
CZ - CZECH REPUBLIC
Number of pages
22
Pages from-to
24-45
UT code for WoS article
001436847200003
EID of the result in the Scopus database
2-s2.0-105004890741