Attributing the effects of climate change and forest disturbance on runoff using distributed modeling and indicators of hydrological alteration in Central European montane basins

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216208%3A11310%2F25%3A10491337" target="_blank" >RIV/00216208:11310/25:10491337 - isvavai.cz</a>

Result on the web

<a href="https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=D2KTH2ZrvY" target="_blank" >https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=D2KTH2ZrvY</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.102101" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.102101</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Attributing the effects of climate change and forest disturbance on runoff using distributed modeling and indicators of hydrological alteration in Central European montane basins

Original language description

This study examines the impacts of climate warming and forest disturbances on hydrological alterations in montane headwater basins. Using the MIKE SHE distributed hydrological model, scenario-based simulations assessed changes in runoff seasonality, evapotranspiration, streamflow, and variability. Hydrological alteration indicators were applied to disentangle the contributions of these drivers and their interactions under varying environmental conditions. The study is focused on eight unregulated basins in the headwaters of five mid-latitude mountain ranges in Czechia. The results demonstrated that the climate warming is the primary driver of hydrological change, causing shifts in runoff seasonality, increased evapotranspiration, and reduced streamflow. Forest disturbances amplify these effects during dry conditions, intensifying runoff variability, increasing low-flow frequency, and modifying peak flows. Regional differences show greater sensitivity in steeper eastern basins due to limited snow accumulation and higher runoff variability. This study highlights the interconnected impacts of climate warming and forest disturbances, with warming driving systemic shifts and disturbances acting as amplifiers in extreme conditions. Methodologically, the study provide a framework for disentangling the effects of climate and landcover changes on hydrology, and thus offering insights for managing sensitive montane ecosystems and water resources under changing environmental conditions.

Czech name

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Czech description

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Type

J_imp - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

CEP classification

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OECD FORD branch

10508 - Physical geography

Project

Result was created during the realization of more than one project. More information in the Projects tab.

Continuities

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Publication year

2025

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies

ISSN

2214-5818

e-ISSN

2214-5818

Volume of the periodical

57

Issue of the periodical within the volume

February

Country of publishing house

NL - THE KINGDOM OF THE NETHERLANDS

Number of pages

22

Pages from-to

102101

UT code for WoS article

001385167100001

EID of the result in the Scopus database

2-s2.0-85211231870