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Copula hurdle GARCH models for multivariate non-negative time series

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216208%3A11320%2F25%3A10506298" target="_blank" >RIV/00216208:11320/25:10506298 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Result on the web

    <a href="https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=OVC7YpZkY_" target="_blank" >https://verso.is.cuni.cz/pub/verso.fpl?fname=obd_publikace_handle&handle=OVC7YpZkY_</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00362-025-01713-x" target="_blank" >10.1007/s00362-025-01713-x</a>

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Copula hurdle GARCH models for multivariate non-negative time series

  • Original language description

    This work addresses the modeling of multiple related time series with non-negative observations, many of which contain non-negligible portions of zeros. Each series is modeled univariately as a GARCH process, constrained to non-negative values. A parametric copula is used to introduce dependence among the time series, with the occurrence of zeros assumed to follow a multivariate Markov chain. The goal is to estimate the omnibus model parameters. The multivariate hurdle distribution and the dependence of zeros cause classical estimation techniques to fail. Therefore, a partial quasi-maximum likelihood approach is employed, using a generalized density supported on the closed orthant. Under simple and easily verifiable assumptions, the estimated parameters of the joint model are shown to be consistent. The empirical properties are demonstrated in a simulation study.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

  • CEP classification

  • OECD FORD branch

    10103 - Statistics and probability

Result continuities

  • Project

    <a href="/en/project/GF22-01639K" target="_blank" >GF22-01639K: Gradual Functional Changes - GraFuCha</a><br>

  • Continuities

    P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Others

  • Publication year

    2025

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Name of the periodical

    Statistical Papers

  • ISSN

    0932-5026

  • e-ISSN

    1613-9798

  • Volume of the periodical

    66

  • Issue of the periodical within the volume

    4

  • Country of publishing house

    DE - GERMANY

  • Number of pages

    19

  • Pages from-to

    87

  • UT code for WoS article

    001482788000001

  • EID of the result in the Scopus database

    2-s2.0-105004351620