Extreme precipitation totals under present and future climatic conditions according to regional climate models

Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216224%3A14310%2F17%3A00096252" target="_blank" >RIV/00216224:14310/17:00096252 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
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DOI - Digital Object Identifier
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Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Extreme precipitation totals under present and future climatic conditions according to regional climate models
Original language description
It is very likely that the intensity of precipitation over land in the middle latitudes is going to increase by 2100.This chapter deals with the comparison between measured (1981–2010) and simulated (2010–2100) three-day precipitation totals across the area of the Czech Republic. The future precipitation totals were calculated on the basis of five regional climate models (CNRM_ALADIN, EC-EARTH, EC-EARTH_RACMO, MOHC_HADGEM a MPI-ESM-LR) for various recurrence intervals (N=5, 10, 20, 50 and 100 years) and emission scenarios (4.5 and 8.5). The outputs of models were compared for three defined periods (2021–2040, 2041–2060 and 2081–2100) with emphasis on summer (JJA) and annual precipitation. The regional climate models predict in most cases a marked increase in precipitation totals for a determined recurrence interval which is dependent upon an applied emission scenario and analysed period. However, spatial variability maintains similar patterns to those being formed at the present time. The totals of the acquired three-day precipitation model should serve as the basis for the constitution of the next adaptive strategy of the Czech Republic to 2100.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Project
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Continuities
I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Publication year
2017
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Book/collection name
Climate change adaptation pathways from molecules to society
ISBN
9788087902172
Number of pages of the result
11
Pages from-to
27-37
Number of pages of the book
159
Publisher name
Global Change Research Institute, Czech Academy of Sciences
Place of publication
Brno
UT code for WoS chapter
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