Extreme precipitation totals under present and future climate according to regional climate models

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F86652079%3A_____%2F16%3A00470786" target="_blank" >RIV/86652079:_____/16:00470786 - isvavai.cz</a>

Result on the web

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DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Extreme precipitation totals under present and future climate according to regional climate models

Original language description

It is very likely that the intensity of extreme precipitation over land in the middle latitudes is going to increase by 2100.This chapter deals with comparison between measured (1981–2010) and simulated (2010–2100) three-day precipitation totals on the area of the Czech Republic. The future precipitation totals were calculated on the basis of five regional climate models (CNRM_ALADIN, EC-EARTH, EC-EARTH_RACMO, MOHC_HADGEM a MPI-ESM-LR) for various recurrence intervals (N=5, 10, 20, 50 and 100 years) and emission scenarios (4.5 and 8.5). The outputs of models were compared for three defined periods (2021–2040, 2041–2060 and 2081–2100) with emphasis on summer (JJA) and annual precipitation. The regional climate models predict in most cases marked increase of precipitation totals for determined recurrence interval in dependence on applied emission scenario and analysed period. However, spatial variability keeps the similar patterns as at present. Acquired model three-day precipitation totals should serve as the basis for constitution of the next adaptive strategy of the Czech Republic to 2100.

Czech name

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Czech description

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Type

C - Chapter in a specialist book

CEP classification

DG - Atmospheric sciences, meteorology

OECD FORD branch

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Project

<a href="/en/project/LO1415" target="_blank" >LO1415: CzechGlobe 2020 – Development of the Centre of Global Climate Change Impacts Studies</a><br>

Continuities

I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Publication year

2016

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Book/collection name

Global Change & Ecosystems

ISBN

978-80-87902-17-2

Number of pages of the result

11

Pages from-to

27-37

Number of pages of the book

160

Publisher name

Ústav výzkumu globální změny AV ČR, v. v

Place of publication

Brno

UT code for WoS chapter

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