Climate change drives the retreat of Aethionema spinosum (Brassicaceae) to high-elevation refugia
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216224%3A14740%2F25%3A00143099" target="_blank" >RIV/00216224:14740/25:00143099 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
<a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-025-20695-2" target="_blank" >https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-025-20695-2</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-20695-2" target="_blank" >10.1038/s41598-025-20695-2</a>
Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Climate change drives the retreat of Aethionema spinosum (Brassicaceae) to high-elevation refugia
Original language description
Global climate change poses an increasing threat to biodiversity, prompting scientists to utilize ecological and evolutionary knowledge to address this challenge. Understanding these fields and their interconnections is crucial for improving conservation strategies. Accordingly, we conducted a study to assess the potential repercussions of climate change on Aethionema spinosum, a plant species endemic to the mountains of the Irano-Turanian floristic region. Employing ecological niche modeling (ENM), we projected the potential geographic distribution of A. spinosum under current conditions and two future climate scenarios (SSP2–4.5 and SSP5–8.5) for the period 2041–2060. Key climatic factors, including annual mean temperature (bio1), isothermality (bio3), and precipitation of the wettest quarter (bio16), exhibited the highest percentage contribution rates influencing the distribution of A. spinosum. The current model predicted the distribution of A. spinosum in montane areas, while under future-climatic conditions, a reduction and shift toward higher elevations were anticipated. Notably, substantial losses were observed in areas proximate to existing habitats. These findings are useful for the management and conservation of A. spinosum and provide insights into the potential future impacts of climate change on its distribution in the Irano-Turanian region.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
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OECD FORD branch
10611 - Plant sciences, botany
Result continuities
Project
<a href="/en/project/EH22_008%2F0004581" target="_blank" >EH22_008/0004581: TowArds Next GENeration Crops (TANGENC)</a><br>
Continuities
P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)
Others
Publication year
2025
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
Scientific Reports
ISSN
2045-2322
e-ISSN
2045-2322
Volume of the periodical
15
Issue of the periodical within the volume
1
Country of publishing house
DE - GERMANY
Number of pages
13
Pages from-to
36764
UT code for WoS article
001598250200043
EID of the result in the Scopus database
2-s2.0-105019368779