Are Youth Bulges Necessary for Regime Transition?
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216275%3A25210%2F25%3A39923856" target="_blank" >RIV/00216275:25210/25:39923856 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
<a href="https://doi.org/10.1177/14649934251328758" target="_blank" >https://doi.org/10.1177/14649934251328758</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/14649934251328758" target="_blank" >10.1177/14649934251328758</a>
Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Are Youth Bulges Necessary for Regime Transition?
Original language description
This study analyses a global sample of 58 country-level cases of revolutionary mobilization (2000-2022). It investigates the role that structural demographic factors (youth bulges) play alongside different agency-based factors (including strategies of protest and resistance) in bringing about regime transition. Fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA) is applied to assess conditions covering demography (percentage of the population aged 0-14), fertility rates, protest strategies (including violence, unarmed violence and nonviolence), democracy and freedom scores, along with protest size. Results reveal that the presence of a youth bulge is a necessary but not sufficient condition. Specifically, youth bulges are present in two identified pathways that capture (a) regime transitions which arose when movements adopted violence or unarmed violence in non-democratic contexts and (b) in democratic contexts where movements adopted nonviolent civil resistance. Youth bulges combined with strategic protest are key factors underlying regime transition in today's world. This phenomenon is marked by causally complex interactions that are equifinal in nature.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
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OECD FORD branch
50700 - Social and economic geography
Result continuities
Project
<a href="/en/project/LL2308" target="_blank" >LL2308: Combatting self-righteousness - a vice of the digital age</a><br>
Continuities
P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)
Others
Publication year
2025
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Name of the periodical
Progress in Development Studies
ISSN
1464-9934
e-ISSN
1477-027X
Volume of the periodical
2025
Issue of the periodical within the volume
25(2)
Country of publishing house
US - UNITED STATES
Number of pages
19
Pages from-to
103-122
UT code for WoS article
001465318300001
EID of the result in the Scopus database
2-s2.0-105002952611