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A Probabilistic Estimation for Dynamic Thermal Rating of Transmission Lines

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216275%3A25530%2F16%3A39902603" target="_blank" >RIV/00216275:25530/16:39902603 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Result on the web

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    A Probabilistic Estimation for Dynamic Thermal Rating of Transmission Lines

  • Original language description

    Dynamic Thermal Line Rating (DTLR) provides actual current-carrying capacity of transmission lines by considering weather conditions perceived to be influential on line thermal capacity. These weather variables include ambient temperature, wind speed, and wind direction. In this paper, a probability technique is adopted to effectively model the existing uncertainties in weather variables. A probability distribution is assigned to each variable to account for the inherent uncertainties in weather data. Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) technique is then employed to generate different scenarios for relevant weather data. Output of MCS is fed to the IEEE model to obtain the probability distribution of sectional line ampacity estimated at each line span. Next, probability distribution of line ampacity will be calculated as the minimum of the ampacities estimated at each line span. Expected value and related percentiles of line ampacity can be derived from its probability distribution. The proposed approach would enable system operators to make decisions on DTLR accounting for risk and degree of uncertainty that power utilities are willing to accept.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    D - Article in proceedings

  • CEP classification

    JA - Electronics and optoelectronics

  • OECD FORD branch

Result continuities

  • Project

  • Continuities

    I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace

Others

  • Publication year

    2016

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Article name in the collection

    2016 IEEE 16th International Conference on Environment and Electrical Engineering (EEEIC) : proceedings

  • ISBN

    978-1-5090-2320-2

  • ISSN

  • e-ISSN

  • Number of pages

    6

  • Pages from-to

  • Publisher name

    IEEE (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers)

  • Place of publication

    New York

  • Event location

    Florencie

  • Event date

    Jun 7, 2016

  • Type of event by nationality

    WRD - Celosvětová akce

  • UT code for WoS article

    000387085800420