Trend model of integration monetary and fiscal politics
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216305%3A26510%2F19%3APU133094" target="_blank" >RIV/00216305:26510/19:PU133094 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
<a href="http://economic-research.pl/Books/index.php/eep/catalog/book/39" target="_blank" >http://economic-research.pl/Books/index.php/eep/catalog/book/39</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
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Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Trend model of integration monetary and fiscal politics
Original language description
Research background: Monetary and fiscal policy tasks can be unique, com plex and multidisciplinary – economy, sociology, politic s, and etc. These are the main reasons why such tasks are solved under information shortages. Trends, i.e. increasing, decreasing, constant values, are the le ast information intensive quantifiers. Trend heuristics quantified by trends; „a growth rate of money supply (M1) is increasing” is a trend heuristic. A set of trend heuristics is studied as a generator of a complete list of all possible trend scenarios. Methods: The solution of a trend model M(X) is a set S of sc enarios where X is the set of n variables. A set T of transitions amon g the set of scenarios S is used to generate unsteady state behaviours formalised by an oriented graph H. Any future and past time behaviour of a system under study is characterised by a path within the transitional graph H. A tree, which is a sub gr aph of the graph H can be used as a trend decision tree. The data set required by the standard evaluation of a decision tree is usually available just partially. This pape r presents a very simple evaluation algorithm, which is based on an easy to understand evaluation heuristics, e.g. “a longer decision tree sub-path is less probable. The case study presents six trend models M(X) and their solutions. Findings & Value added: The largest model has 28 trend heuristics and 13 scenarios. The relevant transitional grap his prese nted in details.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
D - Article in proceedings
CEP classification
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OECD FORD branch
10700 - Other natural sciences
Result continuities
Project
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Continuities
S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach
Others
Publication year
2019
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Article name in the collection
10th International Conference on Applied Economics Contemporary Issues in Economy
ISBN
978-83-65605-10-8
ISSN
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e-ISSN
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Number of pages
1
Pages from-to
64-64
Publisher name
Polish Economic Society Branch in Toruń
Place of publication
Toruń
Event location
Toruń
Event date
Jun 27, 2019
Type of event by nationality
WRD - Celosvětová akce
UT code for WoS article
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