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QUALITATIVE EQUATIONLESS MACROECONOMIC MODELS AS GENERATORS OF ALL POSSIBLE FORECASTS BASED ON THREE TREND VALUES – INCREASING, CONSTANT, DECREASING

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F00216305%3A26510%2F18%3APU126217" target="_blank" >RIV/00216305:26510/18:PU126217 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Result on the web

    <a href="http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0954349X16300352" target="_blank" >http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0954349X16300352</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2018.01.001" target="_blank" >10.1016/j.strueco.2018.01.001</a>

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    QUALITATIVE EQUATIONLESS MACROECONOMIC MODELS AS GENERATORS OF ALL POSSIBLE FORECASTS BASED ON THREE TREND VALUES – INCREASING, CONSTANT, DECREASING

  • Original language description

    This paper studies macroeconomic models based on a set of qualitative heuristics. A qualitative heuristic is described using just trends; i.e. increasing, decreasing, constant. The trends are the least information intensive quantifiers. E.g. an unemployment is increasing more and more rapidly represents the positive first time derivative of the unemployment (increasing) and positive second derivative (more and more rapidly). It means that not just trends but higher derivatives can be incorporated into a model if they are qualitatively known. No quantitative quantifiers, e.g. numbers, fuzzy sets, are used in this paper. The solution of a qualitative model is a set S of scenarios. A set T of transitions among the set of scenarios S is used to generate an oriented graph H. Any future and past time behaviour of the system under study is described by a path within the graph H. A ten-dimensional macroeconomic serves as a case study.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

  • CEP classification

  • OECD FORD branch

    50202 - Applied Economics, Econometrics

Result continuities

  • Project

    <a href="/en/project/GA17-23448S" target="_blank" >GA17-23448S: Modelling and simulation of sustainable investment decision-making</a><br>

  • Continuities

    P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Others

  • Publication year

    2018

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Name of the periodical

    Structural Change and Economic Dynamics

  • ISSN

    0954-349X

  • e-ISSN

  • Volume of the periodical

    2018

  • Issue of the periodical within the volume

    45

  • Country of publishing house

    NL - THE KINGDOM OF THE NETHERLANDS

  • Number of pages

    7

  • Pages from-to

    1-7

  • UT code for WoS article

    000435054300003

  • EID of the result in the Scopus database

    2-s2.0-85040257853