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EVT-GARCH-COPULA APPROACH IN VALUE AT RISK ESTIMATION AND BACKTESTING

Result description

Accurate Value at Risk estimations of investment portfolio is crucial in the market risk management context. In recent years, traditional approaches to the VaR estimation, as variance-covariance method, are complemented by more flexible approaches based on the application of copulas. The aim of this paper is to compare the application of EVT-copula approach using five different copula functions with the traditional variance-covariance method. The results show a lack of precision VaR estimates obtained by using the variance-covariance method, particularly in high volatility periods of returns. Conversely, the methods based on the extreme value theory provide more accurate outputs in these periods.

Keywords

Value at RiskCopulaGARCHEVTPortfolio

The result's identifiers

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    EVT-GARCH-COPULA APPROACH IN VALUE AT RISK ESTIMATION AND BACKTESTING

  • Original language description

    Accurate Value at Risk estimations of investment portfolio is crucial in the market risk management context. In recent years, traditional approaches to the VaR estimation, as variance-covariance method, are complemented by more flexible approaches based on the application of copulas. The aim of this paper is to compare the application of EVT-copula approach using five different copula functions with the traditional variance-covariance method. The results show a lack of precision VaR estimates obtained by using the variance-covariance method, particularly in high volatility periods of returns. Conversely, the methods based on the extreme value theory provide more accurate outputs in these periods.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    Jost - Miscellaneous article in a specialist periodical

  • CEP classification

  • OECD FORD branch

    50200 - Economics and Business

Result continuities

  • Project

  • Continuities

    S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Others

  • Publication year

    2018

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Name of the periodical

    Journal of Tourism, Hospitality and Commerce

  • ISSN

    1804-3836

  • e-ISSN

  • Volume of the periodical

    9

  • Issue of the periodical within the volume

    1

  • Country of publishing house

    CZ - CZECH REPUBLIC

  • Number of pages

    11

  • Pages from-to

    54-64

  • UT code for WoS article

  • EID of the result in the Scopus database

Basic information

Result type

Jost - Miscellaneous article in a specialist periodical

Jost

OECD FORD

Economics and Business

Year of implementation

2018