Emerging Political Cleavages, Ideological Party Polarization, and Political Trust in European Politics

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F26482789%3A_____%2F25%3A10152834" target="_blank" >RIV/26482789:_____/25:10152834 - isvavai.cz</a>

Result on the web

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DOI - Digital Object Identifier

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Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Emerging Political Cleavages, Ideological Party Polarization, and Political Trust in European Politics

Original language description

The poster presents the results of research into the dynamic relationship between party system polarization and political trust. It focuses on how party system polarization affects political trust by examining the correlation between ideological polarization and political trust. To this end, the Eurobarometer data on political trust and the Manifesto Project data on how different political parties express their ideological stances over time (between 1990 and 2019) were utilized. Combining these data, a panel dataset of 155 observations was created. The analysis employed a fixed-effects (FE) model, regressing the outcome variables on the quantitative measure of ideological party polarization. When estimating the models, the causality from party system polarization to political trust was assumed. The research finds that average European party system polarization is increasing slightly over time, with the “political system”, “welfare and quality of life”, and “fabric of society” domains appearing to be the drivers of this upward trend. The research also suggests that there exist significant relationships only for two ideological domains, “freedom and democracy” (negative and significant estimates for the outcome variables trust in parties and parliaments) and “social groups” (positive and significant estimates for the outcome variables trust in parties, parliaments, and the government).

Czech name

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Czech description

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Type

O - Miscellaneous

CEP classification

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OECD FORD branch

50601 - Political science

Project

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Continuities

R - Projekt Ramcoveho programu EK

Publication year

2025

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů