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Sex estimation using continuous variables: Problems and principles of sex classification in the zone of uncertainty

The result's identifiers

  • Result code in IS VaVaI

    <a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F49777513%3A23330%2F20%3A43960625" target="_blank" >RIV/49777513:23330/20:43960625 - isvavai.cz</a>

  • Result on the web

    <a href="https://www.elsevier.com/books/statistics-and-probability-in-forensic-anthropology/obertova/978-0-12-815764-0" target="_blank" >https://www.elsevier.com/books/statistics-and-probability-in-forensic-anthropology/obertova/978-0-12-815764-0</a>

  • DOI - Digital Object Identifier

    <a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-815764-0.00016-2" target="_blank" >10.1016/B978-0-12-815764-0.00016-2</a>

Alternative languages

  • Result language

    angličtina

  • Original language name

    Sex estimation using continuous variables: Problems and principles of sex classification in the zone of uncertainty

  • Original language description

    Discriminant function analysis using continuous bone measurements provides a highly efficient tool for sex estimation in forensic practice. We show that three aspects are especially important for a reliable application of DFA in sex estimation: (1) the accuracy of sex classification should be calculated by using cross-validation, as non-cross-validated accuracies usually overestimate the true classification rate. Given that an accuracy greater than or equal to 80% is part of the Daubert criteria for admissibility, an unbiased estimate of the classification rate is of high relevance for forensic practice. (2) The sex of an unknown individual should be estimated by a population-specific discriminant function that was derived from the population to which the individual is thought to belong. The application of a discriminant function based on an unrelated population may result in misclassifications and may produce a large sex bias, that is, large differences between the classification rates for females and males. (3) Sex estimation in the zone of uncertainty, that is, the overlapping area between the sexes, should be avoided to prevent misclassifications. Sex should be assigned only to those individuals with a posterior probability of being female or male higher than 0.95. Although such an approach limits the practical applicability of DFs, because some portion of the individuals remains unclassified, it allows a high classification accuracy to be maintained at the individual level. It is worth considering extending the Daubert criteria by adding a posterior probability threshold to the sex estimation procedure, as a reliable sex estimation of every single individual, and not only the overall accuracy across the entire sample, is of utmost importance in forensic practice.

  • Czech name

  • Czech description

Classification

  • Type

    C - Chapter in a specialist book

  • CEP classification

  • OECD FORD branch

    10103 - Statistics and probability

Result continuities

  • Project

    <a href="/en/project/EE2.3.30.0038" target="_blank" >EE2.3.30.0038: New excellence in human resources</a><br>

  • Continuities

    P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Others

  • Publication year

    2020

  • Confidentiality

    S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Data specific for result type

  • Book/collection name

    Statistics and Probability in Forensic Anthropology

  • ISBN

    978-0-12-815764-0

  • Number of pages of the result

    28

  • Pages from-to

    155-182

  • Number of pages of the book

    418

  • Publisher name

    Academic Press

  • Place of publication

    Amsterdam

  • UT code for WoS chapter