The Russia-Ukraine war decreases food affordability but could reduce global greenhouse gas emissions

Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60460709%3A41110%2F24%3A98542" target="_blank" >RIV/60460709:41110/24:98542 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
<a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-024-01208-x" target="_blank" >https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-024-01208-x</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01208-x" target="_blank" >10.1038/s43247-024-01208-x</a>

Result language
angličtina
Original language name
The Russia-Ukraine war decreases food affordability but could reduce global greenhouse gas emissions
Original language description
The Russian invasion of Ukraine has the potential to exacerbate food insecurity around the world, as both countries are major exporters of grains and other agricultural products. In this model-based scenario study, medium-term effects of the war are quantified on agricultural production, trade flows, market prices, food security, land use, and greenhouse gas emissions. The scenarios assess the possible consequences of macro-economic and agricultural production impacts in Ukraine, trade sanctions against Russia, and conflict-related energy price developments for global trade, food security, and greenhouse gas emissions. From a food security perspective, we conclude that there is enough food on the global level, but higher food and energy prices cause problems for low-income populations, spending a large part of their income on staple foods. Agricultural production and area expansion in parts of the world other than Ukraine and Russia could pose a risk to biodiversity and lead to higher greenhouse gas emissions related to land. However, total greenhouse gas emissions might decrease as lower emissions from less use of fossil energy due to higher energy and fertilizer prices in the whole economy dominate additional emissions resulting from land use change.
Czech name
—
Czech description
—

Type
J<sub>imp</sub> - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database
CEP classification
—
OECD FORD branch
50704 - Environmental sciences (social aspects)

Publication year
2024
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Similar results(10)