Integrated national-scale assessment of climate change impacts on agriculture: the case of the Czech Republic
The result's identifiers
Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F86652079%3A_____%2F21%3A00570117" target="_blank" >RIV/86652079:_____/21:00570117 - isvavai.cz</a>
Alternative codes found
RIV/62156489:43210/21:43921843
Result on the web
<a href="https://mendelnet.cz/archive.php?secid=11&mag=mnt&vol=2021&no=1" target="_blank" >https://mendelnet.cz/archive.php?secid=11&mag=mnt&vol=2021&no=1</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
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Alternative languages
Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Integrated national-scale assessment of climate change impacts on agriculture: the case of the Czech Republic
Original language description
In recent years, investigating climate change impacts in the agricultural sector at the national level has become a priority for adaptation decision-making. Most of these studies quantify the impactsnof biophysical effects and often ignore the cross-sectoral interactions and economic effects on relative competitiveness, international trade, global food supply, and food prices for the Czech Republic. Ignoring future productivity changes globally under climate change scenarios can underestimate or overestimate climate change impacts at the national level. Here, we use GLOBIOM-CZE, a global economic model, as part of a climate change impact assessment framework to evaluate the impacts on the Czech agricultural sector in terms of environmental and economic indicators. By comparing with the baseline, the ensemble of scenarios suggests a decrease in crop area and production while increasing grassland, positively affecting livestock production by mid-century. Corn and barley show the most adverse response in production and area, while rapeseed increases under scenario RCP 8.5 with CO2 fertilization effect. Livestock products production is projected to increase, especially bovine meat and milk, as within RCP 8.5, no constraints are placed on growing greenhouse gas emissions.
Czech name
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Czech description
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Classification
Type
D - Article in proceedings
CEP classification
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OECD FORD branch
40101 - Agriculture
Result continuities
Project
<a href="/en/project/EF16_019%2F0000797" target="_blank" >EF16_019/0000797: SustES - Adaptation strategies for sustainable ecosystem services and food security under adverse environmental conditions</a><br>
Continuities
I - Institucionalni podpora na dlouhodoby koncepcni rozvoj vyzkumne organizace
Others
Publication year
2021
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů
Data specific for result type
Article name in the collection
MendelNet 2021: Proceedings of 28th International PhD Students Conference
ISBN
978-80-7509-821-4
ISSN
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e-ISSN
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Number of pages
6
Pages from-to
236-241
Publisher name
Mendel University in Brno
Place of publication
Brno
Event location
Brno
Event date
Nov 10, 2021
Type of event by nationality
WRD - Celosvětová akce
UT code for WoS article
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