Cross-sectoral and trans-national interactions in national-scale climate change impacts assessment-the case of the Czech Republic

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F86652079%3A_____%2F19%3A00523477" target="_blank" >RIV/86652079:_____/19:00523477 - isvavai.cz</a>

Result on the web

<a href="https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-019-01558-9" target="_blank" >https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs10113-019-01558-9</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10113-019-01558-9" target="_blank" >10.1007/s10113-019-01558-9</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

Cross-sectoral and trans-national interactions in national-scale climate change impacts assessment-the case of the Czech Republic

Original language description

Assessing the combined impacts of future climate and socio-economic change at the country level is vital for supporting national adaptation policies. Here, we use a novel modelling approach to study the systemic impacts of climate and socio-economic changes on the Czech Republic, taking account of cross-sectoral interactions between agriculture, water, forestry, land-use and biodiversity, and, for the first time, trans-national interactions. We evaluate the national-level baseline results, scenario-neutral model sensitivities, and climate and socio-economic scenario impacts using a European-scale integrated modelling tool. Consistently across most climate and socio-economic scenarios, the Czech Republic is projected to have increasing importance as a crop-growing region in Europe, due to an increased competitive advantage within the continent. Arable land in the Czech Republic expands, at the expense of livestock farming and forestry, with associated impacts of increased water scarcity and reduced biodiversity for the country. Accounting for trans-national interactions in national-scale assessments provides more realistic assessments of impacts and helps to identify the changing role of the country within its regional and continental domain. Such improved understanding can support policy-makers in developing national adaptation actions that reduce adverse impacts and realise opportunities.

Czech name

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Czech description

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Type

J_imp - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

CEP classification

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OECD FORD branch

10510 - Climatic research

Project

<a href="/en/project/EF16_019%2F0000797" target="_blank" >EF16_019/0000797: SustES - Adaptation strategies for sustainable ecosystem services and food security under adverse environmental conditions</a><br>

Continuities

P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Publication year

2019

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

Regional Environmental Change

ISSN

1436-3798

e-ISSN

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Volume of the periodical

19

Issue of the periodical within the volume

8

Country of publishing house

DE - GERMANY

Number of pages

11

Pages from-to

2453-2464

UT code for WoS article

000511753200023

EID of the result in the Scopus database

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