Future climate of the Carpathians: climate change hot-spots and implications for ecosystems

Result code in IS VaVaI
<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60460709%3A41320%2F16%3A73041" target="_blank" >RIV/60460709:41320/16:73041 - isvavai.cz</a>
Result on the web
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10113-015-0890-2" target="_blank" >http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10113-015-0890-2</a>
DOI - Digital Object Identifier
<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10113-015-0890-2" target="_blank" >10.1007/s10113-015-0890-2</a>

Result language
angličtina
Original language name
Future climate of the Carpathians: climate change hot-spots and implications for ecosystems
Original language description
The Carpathians are the largest European mountain range and harbour exceptional biodiversity. However, recent and anticipated changes in climate along with rapid social and economic development suggest that the region s values may not be sustained. We strived to identify the main regional climate change hot-spots and evaluate the distribution of climatically exposed land-use types and ecosystems. The analysis was based on 10 climate models driven by the emission scenario A1B. To identify the hot-spots, we adopted a methodology based on change trajectories in a multidimensional climate space. Three hot-spots were in the Western Carpathians (Czech Republic, Slovakia, and Hungary), two were in Ukraine, and three were in the Romanian and Serbian Carpathians. Regions with the highest aggregate climate exposure (i. e. above 70 % of the regional range) were mostly covered by broadleaved forests (39 %), agricultural land (30 %), and pastures and woodlands (15 %). These regions also contained 15 % of protecte
Czech name
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Czech description
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Type
J<sub>x</sub> - Unclassified - Peer-reviewed scientific article (Jimp, Jsc and Jost)
CEP classification
DG - Atmospheric sciences, meteorology
OECD FORD branch
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Project
<a href="/en/project/QJ1220316" target="_blank" >QJ1220316: Assessment of expected changes in growth and mortality of forest stands, impacts on forest production in the Czech Republic, and proposal of adaptation strategy</a><br>
Continuities
P - Projekt vyzkumu a vyvoje financovany z verejnych zdroju (s odkazem do CEP)

Publication year
2016
Confidentiality
S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

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