The future distribution of wetland birds breeding in Europe validated against observed changes in distribution

Result code in IS VaVaI

<a href="https://www.isvavai.cz/riv?ss=detail&h=RIV%2F60460709%3A41330%2F22%3A94194" target="_blank" >RIV/60460709:41330/22:94194 - isvavai.cz</a>

Result on the web

<a href="https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac4ebe" target="_blank" >https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/ac4ebe</a>

DOI - Digital Object Identifier

<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac4ebe" target="_blank" >10.1088/1748-9326/ac4ebe</a>

Result language

angličtina

Original language name

The future distribution of wetland birds breeding in Europe validated against observed changes in distribution

Original language description

Wetland bird species have been declining in population size worldwide as climate warming and land-use change affect their suitable habitats. We used species distribution models (SDMs) to predict changes in range dynamics for 64 non-passerine wetland birds breeding in Europe, including range size, position of centroid, and margins. We fitted the SDMs with data collected for the first European Breeding Bird Atlas and climate and land-use data to predict distributional changes over a century (the 1970s-2070s). The predicted annual changes were then compared to observed annual changes in range size and range centroid over a time period of 30 years using data from the second European Breeding Bird Atlas. Our models successfully predicted ca. 75% of the 64 bird species to contract their breeding range in the future, while the remaining species (mostly southerly breeding species) were predicted to expand their breeding ranges northward. The northern margins of southerly species and southern margins of north

Czech name

—

Czech description

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Type

J_imp - Article in a specialist periodical, which is included in the Web of Science database

CEP classification

—

OECD FORD branch

10511 - Environmental sciences (social aspects to be 5.7)

Project

—

Continuities

S - Specificky vyzkum na vysokych skolach

Publication year

2022

Confidentiality

S - Úplné a pravdivé údaje o projektu nepodléhají ochraně podle zvláštních právních předpisů

Name of the periodical

Environmental Research Letters

ISSN

1748-9326

e-ISSN

1748-9326

Volume of the periodical

17

Issue of the periodical within the volume

2

Country of publishing house

CZ - CZECH REPUBLIC

Number of pages

12

Pages from-to

1-12

UT code for WoS article

000753626800001

EID of the result in the Scopus database

2-s2.0-85125491548